(05-23-2012, 01:30 PM)CowboyIndian link Wrote:As opposed to your scenario above, what do you imagine is happening now....and has been happening for a while?
I decided against comparing to the state today, but the difference would be immense.
Each university has extensive fixed costs related to supporting athletics. Let's pick UCB. They "need" that $30 million per year in TV money to even come close to balancing their AD budget. Imagine, mid way through the fiscal year some group of NCAA analysts declares that UCB will get nothing from TV!!!
The costs for sports would be fixed and not easily cut, so the cuts would come from university-wide variable cost categories and/or those line items with no hope of producing revenue. Bye-bye graduate research stipends or staff salary increases. The pressure on the system would be impossible. Everyone would know that the athletes must graduate or the university might be forced to take money immediately from relative innocents. Not slow cuts over time, but massive hurtful immediate cuts. Those that think the cuts would come from the AD budget are NUTS. If anything, those schools that get revenue cut once would double down and "improve" their graduation rate gimmicks.
Today professors will complain if too many students are clearly not qualified for a school. Most schools stay true to their mission and give athletes low grades if they are not in class. Today some professors want to be nice to the ADs. And today some kids don't care and take PE, bowling, or Parks & Rec or whatever is available to keep them eligible. In this new world the systems would demand that EVERY athlete take classes where the professors understand the deal. Like optional workouts these optional majors would be near mandatory in too many schools.
No longer driven by some noble quest to improve grad rates, the system would be driven by a fear of losing money needed to keep the budget sound.
Sure, some kids would elect to attend schools that keep the athletes in the student mix, but far too many would elect the easiest path. And with the dollars needed to cover fixed costs tied directly to athlete graduation too many schools would lose all ability to stop the insanity.
Grad rates would improve, but I doubt the schools would actually do a better job at educating athletes. In fact, my guess is that many schools would create new programs that would actually hurt athlete education. And the perception in the real world would become that all athletes get to graduate only because the schools needed/wanted the TV money.