04-16-2023, 11:27 AM
(04-16-2023, 07:57 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: Since 1900, Giants teams to allow at least 5 runs per game:
1901: 5.35 (52-85)
1930: 5.29 (87-67)
1970: 5.10 (86-76)
1995: 5.39 (67-77)
1996: 5.32 (68-94)
1999: 5.13 (86-76)
2023: 5.36 (5-9)
Since 1900, any Giants team to allow more than 5.13 runs per game has finished well below the .500 mark. Though early, this year's team is on pace to allow the second most runs per game since the turn of the 20th Century and it's the most generous team the Giants have had in the 21st Century.
It's even worse than you're indicating. Here's your table with league-wide runs per game allowed and the delta
1901: 5.35 (52-85) 4.63 / .72 more than league average
1930: 5.29 (87-67) 5.68 / Giants actually gave up fewer runs than the league average
1970: 5.10 (86-76) 4.52 / .68 more than league average
1995: 5.39 (67-77) 4.63 / .86 more than league average
1996: 5.32 (68-94) 4.68 / .64 more than league average
1999: 5.13 (86-76) 4.95 / .18 more than league average, so not too bad...hence the winning record.
2023: 5.36 (5-9) 4.64 / .72 more than league average, similar to 1901, 1995 and 1996.
In other words, we could be headed for a stinker of a year, if they don't turn it around fast.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
