10-09-2022, 06:43 PM
I'm wondering if any of the 16 people who said Shaw should stay have changed their minds yet?
(10-09-2022, 06:45 PM)Mick Wrote:(10-09-2022, 06:43 PM)winflop Wrote: I'm wondering if any of the 16 people who said Shaw should stay have changed their minds yet?
If Stanford goes 1-11, how many of the 16 will change their minds?
(10-09-2022, 06:45 PM)Mick Wrote:(10-09-2022, 06:43 PM)winflop Wrote: I'm wondering if any of the 16 people who said Shaw should stay have changed their minds yet?
If Stanford goes 1-11, how many of the 16 will change their minds?
(10-09-2022, 10:02 PM)PAsportsfan Wrote: I wonder what the payout would be on a 7 team parlay betting Stanford to lose the remaining games.
If the each game were an “even” bet it would pay 75 to 1. Guess 40 to 1???
(10-09-2022, 10:02 PM)PAsportsfan Wrote: I wonder what the payout would be on a 7 team parlay betting Stanford to lose the remaining games.
If the each game were an “even” bet it would pay 75 to 1. Guess 40 to 1???
(10-10-2022, 06:34 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote:(10-09-2022, 10:02 PM)PAsportsfan Wrote: I wonder what the payout would be on a 7 team parlay betting Stanford to lose the remaining games.
If the each game were an “even” bet it would pay 75 to 1. Guess 40 to 1???
I don't see how Stanford wins a game against the remaining schedule of teams, unless those teams suffer some bad injuries and Stanford is close to full strength.
If I were betting, I'd take Stanford to lose the remaining games. Someone told me it's really hard to lose them all. There is always one game you win by just chance. I told him that game was against Oregon State, and they blew it, so...
(10-10-2022, 06:34 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote:(10-09-2022, 10:02 PM)PAsportsfan Wrote: I wonder what the payout would be on a 7 team parlay betting Stanford to lose the remaining games.
If the each game were an “even” bet it would pay 75 to 1. Guess 40 to 1???
I don't see how Stanford wins a game against the remaining schedule of teams, unless those teams suffer some bad injuries and Stanford is close to full strength.
If I were betting, I'd take Stanford to lose the remaining games. Someone told me it's really hard to lose them all. There is always one game you win by just chance. I told him that game was against Oregon State, and they blew it, so...
(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
(10-10-2022, 12:22 PM)2006alum Wrote:(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
This. We're essentially back to where Stanford football was during my undergrad days - an also ran, bottom-feeder that no one but a few ardent fans follow, and that required once-in-a-generation "EUTM" to resuscitate from its zombie-state. It's too bad, because I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model.
But Shaw's approach is so evidently not working, and he has refused to do some of the things that have long seemed necessary (replacing assistant coaches, hiring a dedicated OC, etc.) to right the ship. At this point, as reluctant as I am to admit it, I think it's time to look for a new coach, because it's hard to get worse than 0-11 against FBS schools...
(10-10-2022, 12:22 PM)2006alum Wrote:(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
This. We're essentially back to where Stanford football was during my undergrad days - an also ran, bottom-feeder that no one but a few ardent fans follow, and that required once-in-a-generation "EUTM" to resuscitate from its zombie-state. It's too bad, because I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model.
But Shaw's approach is so evidently not working, and he has refused to do some of the things that have long seemed necessary (replacing assistant coaches, hiring a dedicated OC, etc.) to right the ship. At this point, as reluctant as I am to admit it, I think it's time to look for a new coach, because it's hard to get worse than 0-11 against FBS schools...
(10-10-2022, 07:22 AM)msqueri Wrote: For what it's worth, on paper, Sagarin scopes out our schedule like this:
Colgate - WIN
USC - LOSS
at Washington - LOSS
at Oregon - LOSS
Oregon State - LOSS
at Notre Dame - 17 percent
Arizona State - 51 percent
at UCLA - 22 percent
Washington State - 42 percent
at Utah - 11 percent
at Cal - 39 percent
BYU - 47 percent
Expected win total: 3.29
Still in the 3-4 win range according to the computers. The big questions for me are intangible, specifically whether the cratering of the program is something algorithms can't keep up with and whether mounting losses crush morale in a way that makes the team play much worse in the second half of the season than the apparent first half quality of the team. Right now Sagarin has us as the #59 team in the nation, which should be able to win a couple of the four remaining on-paper near tossups. But will the team remain the level of team that played Oregon State (i.e., win 3-4 games total this year), live up to the team's talk and become a better team (getting to a bowl), or collapse under the weight of all this losing (the 1-2 total wins that feel like where we are to the fan base)? 2-10 seems right to me.
(10-10-2022, 07:22 AM)msqueri Wrote: For what it's worth, on paper, Sagarin scopes out our schedule like this:
Colgate - WIN
USC - LOSS
at Washington - LOSS
at Oregon - LOSS
Oregon State - LOSS
at Notre Dame - 17 percent
Arizona State - 51 percent
at UCLA - 22 percent
Washington State - 42 percent
at Utah - 11 percent
at Cal - 39 percent
BYU - 47 percent
Expected win total: 3.29
Still in the 3-4 win range according to the computers. The big questions for me are intangible, specifically whether the cratering of the program is something algorithms can't keep up with and whether mounting losses crush morale in a way that makes the team play much worse in the second half of the season than the apparent first half quality of the team. Right now Sagarin has us as the #59 team in the nation, which should be able to win a couple of the four remaining on-paper near tossups. But will the team remain the level of team that played Oregon State (i.e., win 3-4 games total this year), live up to the team's talk and become a better team (getting to a bowl), or collapse under the weight of all this losing (the 1-2 total wins that feel like where we are to the fan base)? 2-10 seems right to me.
(10-10-2022, 02:08 PM)gailtate Wrote:(10-10-2022, 12:22 PM)2006alum Wrote:(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
This. We're essentially back to where Stanford football was during my undergrad days - an also ran, bottom-feeder that no one but a few ardent fans follow, and that required once-in-a-generation "EUTM" to resuscitate from its zombie-state. It's too bad, because I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model.
But Shaw's approach is so evidently not working, and he has refused to do some of the things that have long seemed necessary (replacing assistant coaches, hiring a dedicated OC, etc.) to right the ship. At this point, as reluctant as I am to admit it, I think it's time to look for a new coach, because it's hard to get worse than 0-11 against FBS schools...
"I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model."
Hear, hear. Up to a point. Shaw was an apparent rising star until he was not, then exposed as something less. My point is that he really had no "brand" of his own as such; what he was doing was applying what amounted to the EUTM blueprint but in a rote, unimaginative mechanical way. Left to his own devices over the years, he ultimately failed. A shame, of course, because the planets and stars were aligned in 2010-12 for something truly dynastic. They were set up for an inheritor who was not to be.
(10-10-2022, 02:08 PM)gailtate Wrote:(10-10-2022, 12:22 PM)2006alum Wrote:(10-10-2022, 09:09 AM)msqueri Wrote:(10-10-2022, 08:54 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: In the extremely unlikely possibility that Shaw gets fired, who gets the interim gig? Scary thought. . . .
Honestly, I don't care. The season is lost and what's important for the program is finding the right next permanent coach and, secondarily (but almost irrelevant compared to priority number one of getting the right permanent hire), stabilizing recruiting to the extent possible. Pritchard or Anderson would be fine as an interim in my view. Gould has been a head coach before if one cares about that. Heck, have Willingham end the season for all I care.
I don't know why any of this should scare us compared to the status quo. What's scarier than losing more than anybody over a four stretch and twice going a calendar year without an FBS win? We lose to Utah by 30 instead of 20?
This. We're essentially back to where Stanford football was during my undergrad days - an also ran, bottom-feeder that no one but a few ardent fans follow, and that required once-in-a-generation "EUTM" to resuscitate from its zombie-state. It's too bad, because I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model.
But Shaw's approach is so evidently not working, and he has refused to do some of the things that have long seemed necessary (replacing assistant coaches, hiring a dedicated OC, etc.) to right the ship. At this point, as reluctant as I am to admit it, I think it's time to look for a new coach, because it's hard to get worse than 0-11 against FBS schools...
"I really like David Shaw the man, and his brand of coaching, when it worked, was in the best tradition of the Stanford student-athlete model."
Hear, hear. Up to a point. Shaw was an apparent rising star until he was not, then exposed as something less. My point is that he really had no "brand" of his own as such; what he was doing was applying what amounted to the EUTM blueprint but in a rote, unimaginative mechanical way. Left to his own devices over the years, he ultimately failed. A shame, of course, because the planets and stars were aligned in 2010-12 for something truly dynastic. They were set up for an inheritor who was not to be.