(10-06-2022, 08:18 AM)Giants Wrote: (10-06-2022, 07:50 AM)cardcrimson Wrote: (04-03-2022, 09:57 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: I must admit, seeing what Joey Bart did to the Fodgers yesterday got me a little pumped.
Susan Slusser suggested he might be traded when on KNBR last week, and was sort of downplaying his importance or otherwise suggesting Farhan's team isn't too high on him. I get they'd like a LH hitting Catcher, but do you really want Casali over Bart even?
Webb, Rodon, DeSclafani, Wood, and Cobb seems like maybe a better starting 5 than 2021. Keep pitches down + have another solid bullpen = good team.
It looks like the Giants are going to do a pretty good job replacing what they lost, and might get more production in some places they didn't get in 2021, but no way are they winning 107 games again.
Fangraphs says Giants will finish 85-77 and have 50% chance of making playoffs. Fangraphs predicted 77-85 before 2021 season.
I'm going with 92-70 and a Wild Card berth.
Yeah, right. You had the Giants as a .500 team. . . .
Lex had them at 80 wins. . . .
Well done, Lex (we won’t remind you that you later bumped your call to 90). :)
Ha! Kind of like the candidate that starts the speech with - we are not going to talk about my opponents (pick your scandal!).
It was a moment of weak optimism after a hot April.
Breaking camp just seemed like a .500 club. (But then again I thought ‘21 was a 75 win team….) Frankly 81 is a bit misleading. Hot Septembers when you are not a contender are not to be trusted.
Still, some positives to bring to ‘23(not in any particular order):
1. Continued development of Harrison. Needs to work a bit on command and not being so reliant on K’s. Good shot he will be up around June 1.
2. Webb. Doing it once is nice. Repeating it is, in many ways, harder. He can be an anchor for years.
3. Doval. Reaching elite closer status. Interesting what they do. He could bring an everyday player in a trade. If not, they have their closer.
4 Bart. To me his numbers were almost exactly as expected. I was hoping for a little higher Slg. But after he got sent down he came back a much better hitter. Receiving skills are fine. If he just improves a bit at the plate, no reason that he can’t hit 20 HRs and be a good defensive catcher.
5. Estrada. Flores appropriately won Willie Mac. But Estrada is my MVP. The bat plays and he’s athletic. Depending on who they pick up he could be Super utility or maybe left fielder. Or he stays at second.
6 JD Davis. For all Zaidi didn’t do at the deadline, the Ruf for Davis AND prospects was a steal. Davis can hit. Not a great defender. Still, some 1B 3B and DH can equal 450 PAs.
7. Cobb. Didn’t like him at first. Seemed to have an attitude. But he got better as year went on. Very solid no 3.
8. Schmitt. Shot up the system like a meteor. Hit everywhere. And while I haven’t seen him, he’s supposed to be a terrific third baseman. June 1.
9. Villar. Looks like he can hang. Another guy that came back strong from a demotion.
Here’s who I see on roster April 1 ‘23 from the current group. Lots of holes to fill.
Infielders: Villar, Longoria (resigned 1 year deal $6.5 million) Craw, Estrada (although I could see him in left) Davis Flores
Catcher Bart. Wynns (he showed enough to be viable backup)
Outfielders. Slater Yaz They need big time help here. Obviously. With the new shift rules, two man outfields will be illegal …… :)
SP Webb, Cobb, Dsco, Wood
RP. Doval Rogers Brebbia Alexander
Questions:
Wade/Gonzales. One will probably break north. Not both. And whether either is around depends on what outfielders they bring in. It’s a big area of weakness. Be nice if they improved the roster enough that neither go north. But I doubt that.
Rodon. I don’t think Zaidi will go 5 years for a 30 year old power pitcher. Especially with history of arm issues. I’m assuming he’s gone. Dodgers, Mets or Yankees. AKA The Usual Suspects .
Belt. If he passes a physical and can show he has some legs, the Giants may resign him. 1 year $5 million. Otherwise he retires. He can still be a viable 1B/DH option. You just have to know that 110 games is probably the limit. My guess at this point is he retires.
Pederson. Gone. I’ll be honest, his act wears a bit thin on me. He also disappeared for a couple months. Last straw was his “it is what it is” on conditioning. He’s a one trick pony. A liability defensively that is a nice DH platoon option. I suppose if Belt doesn’t come back there is a chance they sign him. He is another 1 year 6 to 8 million guy.
Hjelle or Junis (not both - they are both swing guys). May depend on options (unsure if either or both have any left)
Shelby Miller. Showed some good things. Possibility. Ditto Alex Young. I’m thinking Garcia is gone.
Waites. June 1. I hope.
La Stella. Sunk cost. Only way he’s on roster is if winter goes poorly.
Ramos. Big disappointment. ‘23 will be make or break year for him.
Going to be a very interesting winter. I’m asking Santa for 2 top tier FA regulars. Let’s say Judge and Swanson. (I’d love Turner but from all I’ve read he’s either staying or heading East. Still perhaps the Giants can come up with Millions of reasons for him to come to Oracle.) And pickup another OF.
Generally, I’ve been good. But I’m afraid of getting coal…….
As for playoffs just hoping someone beats Dodgers. But I don’t think it will happen. I think this Dodger team will dominate the post season. Ugh.