This latest fiery disaster has led me to do at least some cursory investigation into why California is being plagued with these monumental fires, and is likely to continue to be so. Some say climate change, and others say bad forestry policy. However, the persons writing on both issues tend to be so politicized as to make their articles polemical and useless. Objectivity is scarce. Finally, I found a piece of analysis by the California Legislative Analyst's Office which seems to me quite a nice summary of where we are and how we got here. (Although the California legislature is quite partisan, the analyst's office is not, and the article is a no-nonsense summary of the last decades of policy.) I'll link it here, and then summarize it as best I can.
[/url]
Improving California's Forest and Watershed Management
This report consists of five sections. First, we review the importance of and benefits provided by California’s ...
[url=https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3798]
1. Horrible Forestry Policy. Back in in 2018, in the midst of a major conflagration, Trump in his wonderfully Trumpian way blamed the debacle on California forestry policy. The policy has been really bad, but it has been bad for nearly 90 years, long enough for plenty of damnation of both parties if that's your pleasure. But mostly it's a really beautiful lesson in the law of unintended consequences.
Since the 1930's, the principal object of both Federal and State Forestry services has been to attack fires as soon as possible, as a policy objective, trying to have them fully contained by 10:00 a.m. the morning after discovery. That of course is exactly what firefighters are supposed to do. However, environmental legislation in the early 70's (e.g., the Endangered Species Act of 1973) also severely restricted forest husbandry by both controlled burns and logging permits. (If you're keeping partisan score, these came out of the Nixon Administration and Reagan's governorship. Nixon was actually quite environmentally friendly, e.g., the EPA was created in his first term).
This legislation obviously had worthy aims, but a collateral effect was to limit severely logging activity, even that that might have been useful to keeping forests healthy and safe. When you eliminate fires with effective fire prevention - the sort of fire that burned for weeks and months in pre-history - AND pests through various means AND you limit human activity, what happens is that the trees, like any other natural organism, proliferate. You might compare it to what happens to deer herds when sentimentalists give them too much protection. The population expands to the point where it endangers itself, and you end up with controlled hunts to reduce the herd to numbers at which it can survive.
The tree population has expanded in the same way. According to the linked report, a healthy forest should have between 40 t0 60 trees per acre. California forests have between 100 to 200 AND massive amounts of small shrubbery, dried leaves and branches, and, of course, a lot of dead trees from the drought and losing the battle for survival. They are tinderboxes just waiting for the right match. Despite the 10 fold increase in population since the 30's, California forests have 30% more trees now than they did 90 years ago. They are, plainly and simply, too damn dense. A couple of commentators have made the ironic point that the excessive amount of carbon dioxide the trees emit actually contributes to global warming. This has nothing to do with which party controls the legislature or who's President. It has taken nearly a century of pretending this wasn't a problem to get here, and it's going to take a long time to undo it.
The legislative report that I have linked is dispassionate - but it does indicate that expenditures of immense proportions are going to have to be made to give the people of California any safety from this.
One thing I am for is creating fire breaks - big ones, so that fires can not spread as quickly and easily as they do. That probably is environmentally unfriendly, but it cannot be worse for the forests than these fires. And while we don't want forests logged out of existence, it is obvious that MORE logging would actually be good for the environment. It's a happy medium, Aristotle's golden mean. While we were worried about doing too much, we haven't done enough.
2. Climate Change. I'm not going to discuss the science and the endless (needless) controversy. But I will go anecdotal. On the night of the major lightning strike, Nina and I were awakened at about 2:00 by thunder as loud as the crack of doom. This was followed by a lightning show that went on for about an hour, and reoccurred well into the morning. In 67 years living in this county, I have never seen or heard anything like it, not even in rainy season. I have been through thunderstorms in New York and I remember one of great intensity when I was very small, in Park Forest - Midwestern, Great Lakes weather. But events like that simply have not happened in my lifetime in California.
Climate change or unusual, aberrant weather? I don't know. All I can tell you is that you needed both elements to cause this mess - forests that have become firebombs due to neglect, and a weather event that sets them off.
These are just my thoughts after reading this very interesting (though rather dry) analysis. But I have linked it, so you can read it for yourself.
[/url]
Improving California's Forest and Watershed Management
This report consists of five sections. First, we review the importance of and benefits provided by California’s ...
[url=https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3798]
1. Horrible Forestry Policy. Back in in 2018, in the midst of a major conflagration, Trump in his wonderfully Trumpian way blamed the debacle on California forestry policy. The policy has been really bad, but it has been bad for nearly 90 years, long enough for plenty of damnation of both parties if that's your pleasure. But mostly it's a really beautiful lesson in the law of unintended consequences.
Since the 1930's, the principal object of both Federal and State Forestry services has been to attack fires as soon as possible, as a policy objective, trying to have them fully contained by 10:00 a.m. the morning after discovery. That of course is exactly what firefighters are supposed to do. However, environmental legislation in the early 70's (e.g., the Endangered Species Act of 1973) also severely restricted forest husbandry by both controlled burns and logging permits. (If you're keeping partisan score, these came out of the Nixon Administration and Reagan's governorship. Nixon was actually quite environmentally friendly, e.g., the EPA was created in his first term).
This legislation obviously had worthy aims, but a collateral effect was to limit severely logging activity, even that that might have been useful to keeping forests healthy and safe. When you eliminate fires with effective fire prevention - the sort of fire that burned for weeks and months in pre-history - AND pests through various means AND you limit human activity, what happens is that the trees, like any other natural organism, proliferate. You might compare it to what happens to deer herds when sentimentalists give them too much protection. The population expands to the point where it endangers itself, and you end up with controlled hunts to reduce the herd to numbers at which it can survive.
The tree population has expanded in the same way. According to the linked report, a healthy forest should have between 40 t0 60 trees per acre. California forests have between 100 to 200 AND massive amounts of small shrubbery, dried leaves and branches, and, of course, a lot of dead trees from the drought and losing the battle for survival. They are tinderboxes just waiting for the right match. Despite the 10 fold increase in population since the 30's, California forests have 30% more trees now than they did 90 years ago. They are, plainly and simply, too damn dense. A couple of commentators have made the ironic point that the excessive amount of carbon dioxide the trees emit actually contributes to global warming. This has nothing to do with which party controls the legislature or who's President. It has taken nearly a century of pretending this wasn't a problem to get here, and it's going to take a long time to undo it.
The legislative report that I have linked is dispassionate - but it does indicate that expenditures of immense proportions are going to have to be made to give the people of California any safety from this.
One thing I am for is creating fire breaks - big ones, so that fires can not spread as quickly and easily as they do. That probably is environmentally unfriendly, but it cannot be worse for the forests than these fires. And while we don't want forests logged out of existence, it is obvious that MORE logging would actually be good for the environment. It's a happy medium, Aristotle's golden mean. While we were worried about doing too much, we haven't done enough.
2. Climate Change. I'm not going to discuss the science and the endless (needless) controversy. But I will go anecdotal. On the night of the major lightning strike, Nina and I were awakened at about 2:00 by thunder as loud as the crack of doom. This was followed by a lightning show that went on for about an hour, and reoccurred well into the morning. In 67 years living in this county, I have never seen or heard anything like it, not even in rainy season. I have been through thunderstorms in New York and I remember one of great intensity when I was very small, in Park Forest - Midwestern, Great Lakes weather. But events like that simply have not happened in my lifetime in California.
Climate change or unusual, aberrant weather? I don't know. All I can tell you is that you needed both elements to cause this mess - forests that have become firebombs due to neglect, and a weather event that sets them off.
These are just my thoughts after reading this very interesting (though rather dry) analysis. But I have linked it, so you can read it for yourself.
I wouldn't give you two cents for all your fancy rules if, behind them, they didn't have a little bit of plain, ordinary, everyday kindness - yeah, and a little looking out for the other fella, too.


