Posts: 6,588
Threads: 30
Joined: Oct 2016
I am deeply disappointed in our response on the Federal level to the COVID-19 outbreak in the US. They are certainly part of the problem. With Trump as POTUS, one would expect there would be problems, and there were. However, it is also a fact that the CDC botched their testing deployment. It is also a fact that even if they hadn't botched it, the response would have been too slow and too small to meet the need. The failure to manage the return of US citizens to CONUS properly is not Trump's doing. We were simply unprepared.
We were unprepared at the State and County level as well, and that really limited the options of what was initially possible. We couldn't do what Taiwan or Korea has done, or even what Germany did, because we weren't prepared. What was done in the Bay Area was probably about the best we could have hoped for. The County (and later the State) did basically the only thing they could do and declared a shelter in place. The response of our politicians was gratifyingly good. We were going for "the hammer and the dance". Good plan, maybe we can pull it off.
Unfortunately, the public wasn't quite as up to doing their part. We got our case load in the Bay Area down, but then we hit a plateau. Southern California started out with fewer cases but still had significant community spread. We were about two months along when our politicians basically lost it and decided to reopen even though we were not down to a very small number of cases, and even though we had not yet reached a level of preparation that we could execute "the dance", contact tracking and tracing. They knew that. Newsom knew that. The Counties knew that. They started opening anyway.
To me, this failure dwarfs anything that went before. OK, we were caught off guard by the outbreak, but we did the "right thing" and should be able to do what Italy and Spain are doing, at least. We aren't, and that isn't Trumps fault, it is our fault. Our compliance was never adequate. We never got our case load where it needed to be and we didn't hold our County and State governments accountable for developing a working contact tracking and tracing system. It could have been done. It wasn't.
Much of the nation is in even worse shape, because they made even less effort to get the community spread in check and did even less to prepare contact tracing and testing. In places like Florida, you can't expect them to contain the outbreak, because it is too large. The public in those States doesn't yet know that their tracking and tracing isn't going to be good enough because they aren't there yet. They may never get there the way things are going. Let's all go party on the Weekend.
It is not rocket science to know that you need to social distance, wear a mask, wash you hands, and just plain minimize your risk. During the SIP, that is what everybody should have done. In Italy (and Spain and France), many didn't, so the Government put troops in the streets. In the USA, many didn't, and our State and County governments did nothing to enforce the SIP. The public at large, who realized we weren't getting the numbers down, also did nothing. We are where we are because we have not expended the effort to force our County and State to do their job.