(05-28-2020, 09:31 AM)JustAnotherFan Wrote: (05-28-2020, 05:58 AM)Farm93 Wrote: (05-27-2020, 11:00 PM)Genuine Realist Wrote: For a second there, I thought you meant a 10 to 15 % reduction in tuition. Heh heh heh - silly me . . .
If Stanford wanted to balance its budget with a tuition INCREASE that likely would be a sensible move IMHO. The on-campus costs to educate students and implement social distancing for workers will soar in the next 18-24 months, and today tuition does not come close to covering the costs.
Companies that have any ability to pass their COVID mitigation costs along will start doing that in 2021. An enterprise that turns away routinely turns away 96% of its potential customers likely has that pricing power.
Only if they get Harvard to do the same.
Otherwise Stanford becomes a playground only for the super wealthy plus the 20% of the lower (middle) class that they are willing to let come at a reduced price.
That type of price collusion with the peer group would be rather problematic.
Ultimately look for HYPSM types to do the tuition increases to stabilize education. It could actually become a noble pitch.
The smaller liberal arts colleges, public universities and local schools will all struggle with costs too. They will all want to raise prices/taxes/revenue, but will have a tough time if the HYPSM types are holding tuition down. The short-term solution will be to cut costs and fire staff, but in some places in the USA those tactics will cause faculty and staff to leave. That isn't helpful if the pandemic requires more teachers and staff, not less.
If tuition generally covers 50% of costs at Stanford today, it will be best if tuition covers a similar percentage in academic year 2021-2022. Since the tuition for 2020-2021 was already announced I understand the cost cutting approach in the short-term. If a vaccine arrives in early 2021 then the basic outline of the 2019 cost structure could return. In not then I expect schools across the USA will start looking to pass on the costs in the form of tuition increases with some increase in aid for the poorest families.
Price increases should happen in other industries soon. For example, the current airline fare structure is built off of a ~80+% seat occupancy model which is not possible if every middle seat is unoccupied. The airfare pricing may dip in the short-term as companies try to grab cash to stay out of bankruptcy, but soon the survivors will push fares up to align with their new cost structure.
College pricing is not quite that dynamic, but no Bay Area employer can expect to keep highly skilled staff by cutting salaries for the medium or long-term.