09-22-2013, 12:26 PM
(09-22-2013, 10:23 AM)PrinceLightfoot link Wrote:[quote author=martyup link=topic=8426.msg68689#msg68689 date=1379841421]
Man, this contest sucks. I predicted a final score of 45 - 28. The final score was 42 - 28, but I only place 9th? The winners were off by a total of 16 points and I was off by 3. I could have predicted a final score of 114 - 100 and still placed first. :(
Considering we are predicting the score of the game, using the error from the each teams' score prediction creates a better rank ordering. The current methodology only tracks the predictions of the final spread; not the final score. Here is how the top10 would look like using both score predictions:
Stanford ASU
Final Score 42 28
                          Error
Rank Poster      Prediction Stanford ASU Total
1 martyup       45 28      3     0   3
2 OutsiderFan    38 23      4     5  9
3 ChochinoJanks  34 27      8     1  9
4 Card Fan in OR Â 36Â 24 Â Â Â Â Â Â 6 Â Â Â Â 4 Â Â 10
5 pefloresjr      34 24      8     4   12
6 JeffInCorvalis   30 27     12     1  13
7 Mick           31 30     11     2   13
8 Renaissance Man 36 20 Â Â Â Â Â 6 Â Â Â Â 8Â Â 14
9 pcgoode       35 20      7     8  15
10 Kathy        31 24     11     4   15
[/quote]
Works for me ... I like 10th place a lot better than 27th. ;D
"To the press alone, checkered as it is with abuses, the world is indebted for all the triumphs which have been gained by reason and humanity over error and oppression." ~ James Madison