06-07-2013, 08:56 AM
Actually, the N.D. game is probably the most suspicious line to me, knowing what we know right now.
IF:
a) we were even with them last year in their place
b) despite starting Josh Nunes
c) despite their starting Everett Golson
That implies more than a 5.5 point swing to me. Rule of thumb is 6 pt swing -- so if status quo, we should be favored by six. Somehow N.D. got a half point better than us during the offseason? Seems unlikely.
IF:
a) we were even with them last year in their place
b) despite starting Josh Nunes
c) despite their starting Everett Golson
That implies more than a 5.5 point swing to me. Rule of thumb is 6 pt swing -- so if status quo, we should be favored by six. Somehow N.D. got a half point better than us during the offseason? Seems unlikely.