11-25-2012, 11:37 PM
Many opening lines follow the sagarin predictor scores pretty closely.
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm
After beating UCLA, the predictor ratings between Stanford and UCLA differ by 6.4 points (89.27-82.87), to which you add the 3.14 point home field advantage to get a 9.5+ point spread. The 10 point spread is more a function of which stadium they are playing in than the results of the first game. If Friday's game were in the rose bowl, you would expect Stanford to be favored by 3 or 3.5 (i.e., 6.4-3.14), which is only slightly higher than the first game since that game only changed each team's predictor score by a small amount. Just Say'n. Go Indians!
http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt12.htm
After beating UCLA, the predictor ratings between Stanford and UCLA differ by 6.4 points (89.27-82.87), to which you add the 3.14 point home field advantage to get a 9.5+ point spread. The 10 point spread is more a function of which stadium they are playing in than the results of the first game. If Friday's game were in the rose bowl, you would expect Stanford to be favored by 3 or 3.5 (i.e., 6.4-3.14), which is only slightly higher than the first game since that game only changed each team's predictor score by a small amount. Just Say'n. Go Indians!