[Farm93]

The Big12 computer ratings are so, so good that even 3 and 4 loss Big12 teams will ultimately be in the top 14.  Just wait.
The BigTen winner will get a bid, but it is important that the BigTen winner take one of the top 14 slots so that there is not a spot for the ACC #2.

The ACC #2, if available, will be taken by the Orange Bowl before Stanford, even if Stanford is in the top 8-10 in the BCS.

However it now looks likely that Oregon will be in the BCS CG if they beat Stanford, and Oregon in the BCS CG definitely improves the odds of Stanford in the Rose Bowl as an at-large BCS Top 14.

So in a weird way it appears that win or lose against Oregon then Stanford could have the best chance at the Rose Bowl.  At the moment the Rose Bowl is down to 4 Pac-12 teams either as the AQ or at-large replacement (Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, USC).

[Farm93]

The Big12 computer ratings are so, so good that even 3 and 4 loss Big12 teams will ultimately be in the top 14.  Just wait.
The BigTen winner will get a bid, but it is important that the BigTen winner take one of the top 14 slots so that there is not a spot for the ACC #2.

The ACC #2, if available, will be taken by the Orange Bowl before Stanford, even if Stanford is in the top 8-10 in the BCS.

However it now looks likely that Oregon will be in the BCS CG if they beat Stanford, and Oregon in the BCS CG definitely improves the odds of Stanford in the Rose Bowl as an at-large BCS Top 14.

So in a weird way it appears that win or lose against Oregon then Stanford could have the best chance at the Rose Bowl.  At the moment the Rose Bowl is down to 4 Pac-12 teams either as the AQ or at-large replacement (Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, USC).