01-29-2012, 10:32 AM
(01-29-2012, 05:57 AM)MT link Wrote:When I looked at the plus/minus, I was surprised by the numbers:
Player Min NetPts NetP/G Greenfield, Taylor 27:40 20 28.92Kokenis, Toni 41:41 6 5.76La Rocque, Lindy 34:45 8 9.21Ogwumike, Chiney 42:15 3 2.84Ogwumike, Nnemkadi 42:49 -3 -2.80Orrange, Amber 9:15 -9 -38.92Samuelson, Bonnie 11:04 0 0.00Tinkle, Joslyn 15:30 -10 -25.81
I've always been fascinated (last year too!) by your plus/minus figures. I wonder how much of it, though, actually works out to be caused (or exaggerated) by substitutions decisions by the coaching staff.
Tara pulls players out if they are playing poorly or the game is going badly and she wants to try a different combination. Once a player is pulled her minutes are essentially "frozen" with a negative plus/minus. You could say that Tara has her own "plus/minus" running in her head and acts on it.
If, on the other hand, Tara leaves a player in it allows an opportunity to make up for the previous poor play or at least to "return to the mean."Â None of the players who were in for 20 minutes or more had particularly bad plus/minus ratios.
At the least the plus/minus ratio might help to explain why the coaching staff made the decisions it did: why it pulled Amber and Joslyn. These two did start the game, after all, and each of them played relatively few minutes.
