[washingtonismoney]

I'd say we will be underdogs at Under Stanford Control (again).
I don't think we'll be favorites against UW, even at home.
I'm surprised that we would have a higher win probability against UDFG than against ןɐɔ.

Well, I tend to think Stanford will be better in 2017 than 2016. I'm not sure that'll be the case with SC -- great QB, great RB, some question marks elsewhere. Given the historical closeness of the rivalry, I think 50-50 is about right.

With respect to UW, I'm thinking general health and (potentially) better offensive play plus playing at home gives Stanford a slight edge.

With respect to N.D./59ers, the homefield advantage plays a decisive role. I also expect N.D. to be self-destructing by the end of the season, while I think the 59ers should be more or less OK throughout due to a new coach.

If I, say, knock off 20% on each UW and SC, then Stanford's 8.19 expected wins. So it seems 8-9 wins is a reasonable band for Stanford.

[washingtonismoney]

I'd say we will be underdogs at Under Stanford Control (again).
I don't think we'll be favorites against UW, even at home.
I'm surprised that we would have a higher win probability against UDFG than against ןɐɔ.

Well, I tend to think Stanford will be better in 2017 than 2016. I'm not sure that'll be the case with SC -- great QB, great RB, some question marks elsewhere. Given the historical closeness of the rivalry, I think 50-50 is about right.

With respect to UW, I'm thinking general health and (potentially) better offensive play plus playing at home gives Stanford a slight edge.

With respect to N.D./59ers, the homefield advantage plays a decisive role. I also expect N.D. to be self-destructing by the end of the season, while I think the 59ers should be more or less OK throughout due to a new coach.

If I, say, knock off 20% on each UW and SC, then Stanford's 8.19 expected wins. So it seems 8-9 wins is a reasonable band for Stanford.