[washingtonismoney]

Some other game-by-game odds from the Golden Nugget: http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foot...ry/1785559

KSU @ STAN (-16)
SC @ STAN (-6)
STAN @ UCLA (Pick 'em)
STAN @ UW (-3)
STAN @ ND (-3)
STAN @ Arizona (+5.5)
STAN @ Oregon (-3.5)
STAN @ 59ers (+10)

Using this site -- https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-history/results/ -- here's the estimate of Stanford's odds in each game:

vs KSU: 91.5%
vs SC: 70.1%
@ UCLA: 50%
@ Washington: 41.2%
@ ND: 41.2%
@ Arizona: 65.8%
@ Oregon: 38.8%
@ 59ers: 71.3%

Or, expected value of 4.699 wins from those games. Figure, we'll say, 95% chances against Colorado, Rice, and Oregon State, plus an 80% chance against Washington State, and we'll say 8.349 expected wins from 2016 from the Vegas + educated guess projection of the season...versus Bill Connelly's 7.9 projected wins.

[washingtonismoney]

Some other game-by-game odds from the Golden Nugget: http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foot...ry/1785559

KSU @ STAN (-16)
SC @ STAN (-6)
STAN @ UCLA (Pick 'em)
STAN @ UW (-3)
STAN @ ND (-3)
STAN @ Arizona (+5.5)
STAN @ Oregon (-3.5)
STAN @ 59ers (+10)

Using this site -- https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-history/results/ -- here's the estimate of Stanford's odds in each game:

vs KSU: 91.5%
vs SC: 70.1%
@ UCLA: 50%
@ Washington: 41.2%
@ ND: 41.2%
@ Arizona: 65.8%
@ Oregon: 38.8%
@ 59ers: 71.3%

Or, expected value of 4.699 wins from those games. Figure, we'll say, 95% chances against Colorado, Rice, and Oregon State, plus an 80% chance against Washington State, and we'll say 8.349 expected wins from 2016 from the Vegas + educated guess projection of the season...versus Bill Connelly's 7.9 projected wins.