[BostonCard]

[quote author=CowboyIndian link=topic=13494.msg139389#msg139389 date=1446659239]
[quote author=stupac2 link=topic=13494.msg139322#msg139322 date=1446603511]We're talking about events that we can't affect and don't understand. It's completely pointless,

Have you ever talked about the weather?
[/quote]

We mostly understand the weather.
[/quote]

We mostly understand the CFP selection process.  Last year, we probably would have nailed three out of the four selections, and the fourth (Ohio State) wouldn't have been below #6.  The only reason for the amount of uncertainty right now is that there are a lot of games left to play, and football has a lot of unexpected results.  I don't think 538's model, which gives Stanford a 19% chance of making the playoff, is all that different from a weather model giving San Francisco a 20% chance of rain this week end.

BC

[BostonCard]

[quote author=CowboyIndian link=topic=13494.msg139389#msg139389 date=1446659239]
[quote author=stupac2 link=topic=13494.msg139322#msg139322 date=1446603511]We're talking about events that we can't affect and don't understand. It's completely pointless,

Have you ever talked about the weather?
[/quote]

We mostly understand the weather.
[/quote]

We mostly understand the CFP selection process.  Last year, we probably would have nailed three out of the four selections, and the fourth (Ohio State) wouldn't have been below #6.  The only reason for the amount of uncertainty right now is that there are a lot of games left to play, and football has a lot of unexpected results.  I don't think 538's model, which gives Stanford a 19% chance of making the playoff, is all that different from a weather model giving San Francisco a 20% chance of rain this week end.

BC