[Cardinal96]

If we win out, I see us finishing no worse than five overall.  I see no scenario where we are behind a 1-loss Power 5 team that doesn't win its own conference (though Alabama would be interesting if Ole Miss wins out). 

By far, the easiest conference for us to displace is the ACC.  We would match up very well against a 1-loss ACC champ.  For that reason, we really, really want FSU to beat Clemson.  If they do, I think we have better than a 50/50 chance of surpassing them.

Although a 1-loss FSU team would have wins over Florida and Clemson.  That would be close.  However, in this scenario we would have wins over Notre Dame, Utah (?), UCLA and USC.  Plus 12 straight wins.  And FSU's loss to GT is worse than our loss to NW.

[Cardinal96]

If we win out, I see us finishing no worse than five overall.  I see no scenario where we are behind a 1-loss Power 5 team that doesn't win its own conference (though Alabama would be interesting if Ole Miss wins out). 

By far, the easiest conference for us to displace is the ACC.  We would match up very well against a 1-loss ACC champ.  For that reason, we really, really want FSU to beat Clemson.  If they do, I think we have better than a 50/50 chance of surpassing them.

Although a 1-loss FSU team would have wins over Florida and Clemson.  That would be close.  However, in this scenario we would have wins over Notre Dame, Utah (?), UCLA and USC.  Plus 12 straight wins.  And FSU's loss to GT is worse than our loss to NW.