Also of interest, here's 538's model: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/here...ions-work/
They don't like us all that much, although we are apparently #6 in ELO and it gives us a 20% chance of making the playoffs, which is presumably mostly affected by the odds of winning the conference (46%) and then the ND game, which I assume they have as a coin toss. Those two things get you most of the way there.
They don't like us all that much, although we are apparently #6 in ELO and it gives us a 20% chance of making the playoffs, which is presumably mostly affected by the odds of winning the conference (46%) and then the ND game, which I assume they have as a coin toss. Those two things get you most of the way there.