[stupac2]

I type that much because I cannot stop myself from going into far too detailed explanations. It has nothing to do with likelihood.

For a two-loss conference champ to make the field, all it takes is fewer than four 1-loss conference champs  - or at least two 2-loss champs. Though you are right that in Stanford's case the head to head vs und makes it trickier.

The odds are low of any particular set of wins and losses - thus the point behind my original post was really more that at this point much less is defined than most of the what-ifs presented presume.

It does, though, especially because we'd likely miss out to at least a couple different 2-loss teams, and the way the schedules are set up it's just hard to get two losses in enough conferences we'd be likely to pass PLUS ND. It's obviously not impossible, but the odds of it happening are just really, really low.

[stupac2]

I type that much because I cannot stop myself from going into far too detailed explanations. It has nothing to do with likelihood.

For a two-loss conference champ to make the field, all it takes is fewer than four 1-loss conference champs  - or at least two 2-loss champs. Though you are right that in Stanford's case the head to head vs und makes it trickier.

The odds are low of any particular set of wins and losses - thus the point behind my original post was really more that at this point much less is defined than most of the what-ifs presented presume.

It does, though, especially because we'd likely miss out to at least a couple different 2-loss teams, and the way the schedules are set up it's just hard to get two losses in enough conferences we'd be likely to pass PLUS ND. It's obviously not impossible, but the odds of it happening are just really, really low.