(04-28-2022, 02:02 PM)OutsiderFan Wrote: It's remarkable how slow to adapt and innovate Stanford Football is when it is smack dab in the middle of an area with a culture that is all about it.
I think this is an interesting point. It is well to keep in mind the mechanisms that support that innovative culture. 75% of startups fail. Most are financed by OPM so the risks to the founders are limited. These innovations are almost exclusively created by a small group of people that have split off from a larger organization (or academic institution). They are, in general, not intending to play the same game the organizations they left are playing. They want to generate a new game with new rules where they have the advantage. When it works, it can be h,uge.
Large organizations are generally speaking very poor innovators. There is a long history in the Bay Area of companies who have attempted to continue innovation as they did in the early years. In general these efforts have entirely failed, and in those cases that did succeed generally did so by creating separate spin-offs or "skunk works" that were outside corporate control.
Football is a game that has been around for a long time. The opportunities to innovate are few. Most opportunities available are created by rule changes, not discovering something nobody had previously imagined. It is very much like running a railroad. There are parameters you can tweak but fundamentally everyone is constrained by the nature of the business. Things like "Precision Scheduled Railroading" and Chip Kelly "playing fast" at Oregon are regarded as innovative by many, but they are really more like fads. There is nothing fundamentally innovative about them, they are a change of emphasis that have good points and bad points and are not disjoint from the standard of practice in the industry. UCLA doesn't play fast. It is too hard on the defense. The "good part" of such change is easily duplicated by the competition. The payoff is short lived.
David Shaw is indeed not an aggressive innovator IMHO. He is a "school solution" kind of guy. However, he has shown that he will make changes in the context of what he already knows. Clearly, Stanford's offense is vastly different today than it was in 2015. Shaw is going to look for the solution to any problem in the light of "conventional wisdom" and his own educated and studied analysis of the situation. That causes a slower response than perhaps many here would prefer. However, this approach can also avoid major blunders in some cases. It is also true that a big organization, which the Stanford Football team certainly is, cannot change course instantaneously. If you decide you are going to an Air Raid for example, recruiting the personnel will probably take a couple of years to accomplish, at least. You will have to change some assistant coaches. The defense will have to adjust to being on the field longer. Changing your mind after year one isn't viable because now you have athletes/coaches that can't do either your old offense or the new one. Making good decisions therefore can be better than making quick decisions. Sometimes, you can make a good, quick decision, but more often you can't.
Harbaugh was much more of an innovator than Shaw. Not so much at Stanford, because of his short tenure. Going with a mobile QB at the 49ers was definitely a decision he made, not an accident. Arguably, he was looking for Mahomes before that approach became trendy. That was probably a good move that Shaw in the same situation would not make. OTOH at Michigan, JH has been trying to improve their speed and emphasize the passing game for years. Up to now, he has failed to do that/make that work. Last year they won with a team that had abandoned that "innovative" approach because they clearly couldn't execute it. What JH does this year will be interesting. Trying to innovate can be a two edged sword. At the end of the day, Al Davis was correct. "Just win baby".