(04-19-2020, 08:44 PM)chrisk Wrote: But the Federal government has been doing pandemic planning for many years and in the current Administration has been running exercises to identify weaknesses in current plans. Was anything that happened really a surprise to HHS, CDC, and NIH?
That I can't really say. What I can say is that the CDC clearly had no plan to mass produce a test that could be rapidly distributed to local labs and run in the hundreds of thousands on short notice. That is evident from the problems that ensued. Even if the "original" CDC test had no contamination issues, the CDC couldn't mass produce it and it was also not targeted (or approved by the FDA) to the high throughput machines. So, whatever planning they had done certainly was not appropriate to what happened. Furthermore, it is pretty obvious that getting a test up and running nationwide is going to require the cooperation of industry. There was no plan in place to do this. It was a happening.
Courtesy of BC I have a couple of links to the "Influenza Plan" that the government put together.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resourc...2017v2.pdf
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtm...rr6306a1_e
I will let you judge it for yourself, but from my reading it is at best bureaucratic sweetness and light. It is not actionable. You can't "follow" it. The plan in these documents is for "novel" Influenza. Making a plan for a disease that is broadly similar but with some very different parameters is difficult. Maybe there was another, more actionable plan in the files somewhere. I can't say. As far as I can tell, whatever "plan" existed was overcome by events early on. The events speak for themselves.
Quote:You seem to be repeating Trump's personal talking points.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/politics/...index.html
My God, I hope not :-). My point here has always been that expecting people to make quick, correct decisions in the face of an event that hasn't actually happened in 100 years is unrealistic. There is a very large bias against accepting the idea that something new and catastrophic is happening. That is a big reason why so many nations were caught "flat footed". They simply couldn't believe it was happening to them. It should just go away like SARS did. The nations that responded well (relatively) to this event (Korea, HK etc.) did so because their "foot soldiers" were doing their job and were present in adequate numbers. The weren't mobilized for this event. They were already present. It didn't require the heads of state to be decisive and right from day 1. In addition, these nations (unlike the US or Europe) had a very bad SARS experience and knew that it could happen to them, because it substantially had not long ago.