(11-08-2015, 07:28 PM)Boston Card link Wrote:I'm not sure the comparison's are valid. Using catches rather than throws is a mistake, because it doesn't give you the denominator: how many times we've had third down in a given situation. See the table below (from cfbstats.com)
Somehow there is too much information in that table for me to be able to digest it simply.
So, here's a first attempt and combining and distilling that to a smaller table that might be better.
Unfortunately, the situational passing and running stats don't indicate if a third down was converted successfully or not, the the third down stats don't indicate distance or type of play.
Stanford.
Overall 3rd Down Conversion = 46.7% (14th)
3rd Down and 4+ yds.
Passing: 26-56, 46.4%, 7.04 yds/att, PER=105.3
Running: 28 attempts, 4.35 yds/att
U$C
Overall 3rd Down Conversion = 39.3% (70th)
3rd Down and 4+ yds.
Passing: 42-63, 66.7%, 9.92 yds/att, PER=164.6
Running: 25 attempts, 1.24 yds/att
c.a.l.
Overall 3rd Down Conversion = 41.9% (47th)
3rd Down and 4+ yds.
Passing: 36-64, 56.3%, 7.78 yds/att, PER=141.1
Running: 22 attempts, 4.90 yds/att
Oregon
Overall 3rd Down Conversion = 39.4% (68th)
3rd Down and 4+ yds.
Passing: 28-54, 51.8%, 9.98 yds/att, PER=142.9
Running:38 attempts, 7.71 yds/att
und
Overall 3rd Down Conversion = 44.6% (24th)
3rd Down and 4+ yds.
Passing: 37-60, 61.7%, 8.45 yds/att, PER=146.8
Running: 23 attempts, 2.26 yds/att
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I think this means I agree with Hulk. Stanford's good 3rd down conversion comes primarily from having 3rd and short much of the time. Stanford's passing on 3rd down doesn't seem to be very good - not quite terrible, but not a strength.
