05-10-2014, 10:52 AM
(05-10-2014, 10:34 AM)stupac2 link Wrote:Wasn't Winston a RS Freshman?
Correct. As was Manziel, Mariota, Luck, etc.
Matt Hinton studied this here before the 2013 season began: http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/8/...uarterback
And the 2013 crop of true freshman QBs didn't exactly change the ultimate conclusion: sometimes, if you're lucky, you get a slightly above-average performance out of your true freshman. Otherwise, you get mediocrity or worse. Deciding to bench an effective-though-flawed QB like Hogan for a true freshman is the kind of insanity fans dream up but coaches never endorse.
EDIT: I am exaggerating, but only a little bit. Eventually there will be a really successful true freshman QB, but that player will have to be absurdly talented and good. Keller Chryst might be that guy, but he'd be an incredibly rare outlier. Believing Chryst is or should be that kind of guy is the kind of magical realism thinking that leads people to use lottery tickets as their retirement plan.
