[Nan3cy]

Predicting what will happen is relatively easy.  Predicting when it will happen?  That's what's hard.  There's a saying on Douche Street: being too early and wrong are indistinguishable.

A division controller I worked for many years ago had a poster in his office with the "rules of forecasting," of which the first was "Forecasting is difficult, especially when it concerns the future," but my personal favorite was "If forced to forecast, give them a number or give them a date, but don't ever give them both." I kept that in mind a few years later when I became the planning manager for the division (but had a hard time implementing it).

[Nan3cy]

Predicting what will happen is relatively easy.  Predicting when it will happen?  That's what's hard.  There's a saying on Douche Street: being too early and wrong are indistinguishable.

A division controller I worked for many years ago had a poster in his office with the "rules of forecasting," of which the first was "Forecasting is difficult, especially when it concerns the future," but my personal favorite was "If forced to forecast, give them a number or give them a date, but don't ever give them both." I kept that in mind a few years later when I became the planning manager for the division (but had a hard time implementing it).