[burger]

Next 4 - 2 wins at best (@University of Spoiled Children , ASU)
5 after that - 2 wins, maybe 3 (University of Spoiled Children , @WSU, maybe @UW)
Last 4 - 2 at best (CO, UT)

Road wins are very difficult to come by.

Road wins are tough, but this team won their last two true road games against likely Tourney teams (UConn and Oregon) and came close against Michigan at a neutral site. 

I'm not saying that we'll get to 20 wins, but I wouldn't dismiss the possibility.  I suspect that we'll win a game or two that you have as losses and lose a couple that you have as wins.  That would put us squarely on the bubble, right where we are now.

[burger]

Next 4 - 2 wins at best (@University of Spoiled Children , ASU)
5 after that - 2 wins, maybe 3 (University of Spoiled Children , @WSU, maybe @UW)
Last 4 - 2 at best (CO, UT)

Road wins are very difficult to come by.

Road wins are tough, but this team won their last two true road games against likely Tourney teams (UConn and Oregon) and came close against Michigan at a neutral site. 

I'm not saying that we'll get to 20 wins, but I wouldn't dismiss the possibility.  I suspect that we'll win a game or two that you have as losses and lose a couple that you have as wins.  That would put us squarely on the bubble, right where we are now.