12-02-2013, 02:05 AM
Well, as a point of comparison, Wisconsin dropped 6 spots from 15 to 21 after their loss to Penn State. Michigan State is at 10 now, and 11 in the computers. I think it will be close, but I bet they would drop exactly to #14 with a loss to Ohio State.
Assuming we win, they lose, in the Coaches poll they would fall behind us, Clemson, and Oregon. Probably stay ahead of ASU. They would probably stay ahead of Northern Ill in the polls, but they would fall behind them in the BCS for sure based on computer rankings. Because ASU's computer numbers are insane and I think they would drop about equally in the polls in the event of a loss, I think ASU would also jump them in the final BCS rankings. That would put them right at #14 in the BCS rankings. Would MSU drop behind a 3 loss LSU, 2 loss Oklahoma, or 1 loss UCF? I think not, at least not with all the Big 10 coaches trying to keep their horse in the race.
Assuming we win, they lose, in the Coaches poll they would fall behind us, Clemson, and Oregon. Probably stay ahead of ASU. They would probably stay ahead of Northern Ill in the polls, but they would fall behind them in the BCS for sure based on computer rankings. Because ASU's computer numbers are insane and I think they would drop about equally in the polls in the event of a loss, I think ASU would also jump them in the final BCS rankings. That would put them right at #14 in the BCS rankings. Would MSU drop behind a 3 loss LSU, 2 loss Oklahoma, or 1 loss UCF? I think not, at least not with all the Big 10 coaches trying to keep their horse in the race.