07-03-2013, 10:56 AM
(07-03-2013, 10:42 AM)FarmBoy link Wrote:Wow, pretty amazing hit or miss. The kids at the camp either go first round (few) or undrafted (most.) The 2005 class was pretty monster though: Josh Freeman, Jake Locker, Matt Stafford, and Time Tebow all went in the 1st round in later drafts. (And of course the illustrious Kevin Riley.)
Well of course it's hit or miss. Predicting how kids will do in four years is an inherently difficult enterprise. It's often made more difficult by the fact that highly rated kids go to the same school. Given Matt Cassel's NFL career, is there much doubt he could've been at least a solid SC QB? I'm guessing no. We may discover the same happy fate if we hit the Rosen/Chryst/Burns trifecta.
I think I saw the stat that 33% of elite 11 QBs get drafted. That's not bad, but 44% of 5-star pro-style QBs and 21% of four-star pro-style QBs get drafted, so it doesn't appear elite 11 has any sort of assessment advantage on the scouting services.
(data from: http://www.sbnation.com/elite-11-quarter...ening-2013
http://mgoblog.com/diaries/5-stars-first...ecruit-pro)