09-12-2025, 02:34 PM
Ditto Bangladesh last July, and even Ukraine itself back in 2014. On the other hand, you might have hoped that Belarus was going through something similar in 2020/21, and it petered out. Likewise, there was a lot of hope that protests against the Maduro regime in Venezuela in 2024 would lead to regime change, but alas…
Political scientists have put a lot of thought into trying to predict where revolutions succeed and where they fail. There are some broad rules of thumb, but it is hard to predict with certainty. And, as pointed out, often times it looks like things are not going well and the regime reaches a tipping point where it collapses very quickly.
BC
Political scientists have put a lot of thought into trying to predict where revolutions succeed and where they fail. There are some broad rules of thumb, but it is hard to predict with certainty. And, as pointed out, often times it looks like things are not going well and the regime reaches a tipping point where it collapses very quickly.
BC
