[dabigv13]

Good night, sweet prince. Even if they are Iranian, it hurts to see Tomcats blow up.

https://x.com/manniefabian/status/1934665118530322934

(These are non-operational F14 airframes that have been in this location for a couple years. Israel may have already destroyed some of their flying siblings in hangars, though I think they may have some in deep underground hangars that may still have survived so far)

Also in the tweet are strikes against the Iranian state broadcasting building. They were on air when the strikes happened. Video below (there are reportedly deaths and injuries from that strike but the video below from the broadcast doesn't show any gore).

https://x.com/arash_tehran/status/1934630559705116858


These are all claimed drone strikes. And we have video of Israeli drones operating freely over Tehran, as below.

https://x.com/AuroraIntel/status/1934641788385480830

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Back to Ukraine, Ukrainian intelligence reportedly recently destroyed an electrical transformer in Kaliningrad. Video from that operation below.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1934181861812547646

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Finally, seeing ballistic missile impacts in major cities is very jarring. Must be incredibly frightening to be seeing those coming at you. Israel has intercepted the vast majority, but there have still been impacts in multiple Israeli cities. If any of those had nuclear warheads, there are millions dead now in Tel Aviv and Haifa.

A future Iranian regime, even one guided solely by realpolitik with no religious animus towards Israel, would be driven to obtain nuclear weapons. Would be a far cheaper way of establishing deterrence than trying to rebuild a conventional force that could withstand what Israel just did to them.

I think Israel's best hope/plan is for Iran to become a failed state a la Libya or Gaza. Too weak to do much damage. Iran is 90 million people though. I still think Israel is being incredibly reckless here, though their military success has been impressive.

[dabigv13]

Good night, sweet prince. Even if they are Iranian, it hurts to see Tomcats blow up.

https://x.com/manniefabian/status/1934665118530322934

(These are non-operational F14 airframes that have been in this location for a couple years. Israel may have already destroyed some of their flying siblings in hangars, though I think they may have some in deep underground hangars that may still have survived so far)

Also in the tweet are strikes against the Iranian state broadcasting building. They were on air when the strikes happened. Video below (there are reportedly deaths and injuries from that strike but the video below from the broadcast doesn't show any gore).

https://x.com/arash_tehran/status/1934630559705116858


These are all claimed drone strikes. And we have video of Israeli drones operating freely over Tehran, as below.

https://x.com/AuroraIntel/status/1934641788385480830

------

Back to Ukraine, Ukrainian intelligence reportedly recently destroyed an electrical transformer in Kaliningrad. Video from that operation below.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1934181861812547646

------

Finally, seeing ballistic missile impacts in major cities is very jarring. Must be incredibly frightening to be seeing those coming at you. Israel has intercepted the vast majority, but there have still been impacts in multiple Israeli cities. If any of those had nuclear warheads, there are millions dead now in Tel Aviv and Haifa.

A future Iranian regime, even one guided solely by realpolitik with no religious animus towards Israel, would be driven to obtain nuclear weapons. Would be a far cheaper way of establishing deterrence than trying to rebuild a conventional force that could withstand what Israel just did to them.

I think Israel's best hope/plan is for Iran to become a failed state a la Libya or Gaza. Too weak to do much damage. Iran is 90 million people though. I still think Israel is being incredibly reckless here, though their military success has been impressive.