[Goose]

Russia is importing massive quantities of cheap missile/drone  weapons from Iran and North Korea. Ukraine's partners that could supply such weapons restrict their use. Many of the weapons in this class are relatively short range and therefore of limited utility in Ukrainian service anyway.

What are the odds that Ukraine's partners accede to Zelensky's wishes and lifts restrictions on those missiles? And after the American presidential election?

After Barrage From Russia, Ukraine Calls on West to Lift Restrictions on Missiles - WSJ

Stranger things have happened, but IMO any lifting of the restrictions from the US will be at best nuanced. The permission to strike Russian troop concentrations and supply points in the north that were massing for an attack was granted well after said attack was over. The US has no clear strategic direction and is being at best responsive, not pro-active. We have (and probably will have) absolutely no strategy. After the election Ukraine will not be the top concern of the new administration, no matter who is elected. ATACMS are probably the only weapon that we supply that can reach any distance into Russia. The unitary warhead version has a published range of 190 mi.The JASSM-ER could come with the F-16 effort. It has a range of 575 miles.  Neither PrSM nor JASSM-ER are currently in Ukraine. JASSM-ER could damage Russia strategically but couldn't reach Moscow, by a factor of 2. Of course, the venerable Tomahawk can easily reach anywhere in European Russia, but nobody has been talking about those.

Germany will not even supply Ukraine with Taurus missiles to Ukraine, let alone allow them to be used against Russia directly. Not happening, period. The current coalition governing Germany is too conflicted to do any such thing.

The UK and/or France just might give permission to use the Storm Shadow/SCALP. Their range is about 300 mi. The political situation in France is very unclear. The UK is adjusting to a new government that does not yet have its feet under it. These situations do not bode well for controversial decisions.

All these weapons are designed to hit high value targets far in the enemy's rear areas. That can be an important plus for Ukraine. They are not designed for mass attacks on area targets. They won't stop Russia's missile attacks on Ukraine. They can make it much more difficult for Russia to launch ALCMs and hypersonic missiles by attriting the ability of the VKS to launch them. However, the VKS can simply switch to using bases located out of range of these cruise missiles. For the SU-35s it will be a PITA, for the TU-22M folks it will just be another day at the office.

[Goose]

Russia is importing massive quantities of cheap missile/drone  weapons from Iran and North Korea. Ukraine's partners that could supply such weapons restrict their use. Many of the weapons in this class are relatively short range and therefore of limited utility in Ukrainian service anyway.

What are the odds that Ukraine's partners accede to Zelensky's wishes and lifts restrictions on those missiles? And after the American presidential election?

After Barrage From Russia, Ukraine Calls on West to Lift Restrictions on Missiles - WSJ

Stranger things have happened, but IMO any lifting of the restrictions from the US will be at best nuanced. The permission to strike Russian troop concentrations and supply points in the north that were massing for an attack was granted well after said attack was over. The US has no clear strategic direction and is being at best responsive, not pro-active. We have (and probably will have) absolutely no strategy. After the election Ukraine will not be the top concern of the new administration, no matter who is elected. ATACMS are probably the only weapon that we supply that can reach any distance into Russia. The unitary warhead version has a published range of 190 mi.The JASSM-ER could come with the F-16 effort. It has a range of 575 miles.  Neither PrSM nor JASSM-ER are currently in Ukraine. JASSM-ER could damage Russia strategically but couldn't reach Moscow, by a factor of 2. Of course, the venerable Tomahawk can easily reach anywhere in European Russia, but nobody has been talking about those.

Germany will not even supply Ukraine with Taurus missiles to Ukraine, let alone allow them to be used against Russia directly. Not happening, period. The current coalition governing Germany is too conflicted to do any such thing.

The UK and/or France just might give permission to use the Storm Shadow/SCALP. Their range is about 300 mi. The political situation in France is very unclear. The UK is adjusting to a new government that does not yet have its feet under it. These situations do not bode well for controversial decisions.

All these weapons are designed to hit high value targets far in the enemy's rear areas. That can be an important plus for Ukraine. They are not designed for mass attacks on area targets. They won't stop Russia's missile attacks on Ukraine. They can make it much more difficult for Russia to launch ALCMs and hypersonic missiles by attriting the ability of the VKS to launch them. However, the VKS can simply switch to using bases located out of range of these cruise missiles. For the SU-35s it will be a PITA, for the TU-22M folks it will just be another day at the office.