07-08-2024, 11:28 AM
https://www.yahoo.com/news/europe-overpr...32645.html
Obviously I can't confirm any of these "reports" on either "side" of the issue. However, I do believe the 450-750K number is much, much closer to the truth the 1M+ number referenced. The unfortunate trend in this war has been for the European (and to a degree the US) to vastly overstate both the quantity and the immediacy of what they are doing. The truth later comes out and it is often not good. It has effects.
Ukraine is in a militarily hopeless situation without massive military aid from the west, primarily the US. Without aid they have too few people and too little military-industrial complex to hold off Russia for any length of time. Knowing that, Ukraine will inevitably quit if the aid stops. So far, lots of aid has been delivered. Even more has been promised and not (yet?) delivered. Whether that quantity of aid is adequate to allow a Ukrainian victory is arguable. However, one thing that is absolutely undeniable is that the RATE of aid delivery has been far slower than initially promised and that this delay has considerably attenuated the effect of the aid that has arrived. Politicians make announcements with great fanfare and then almost nothing happens. It seems the announcement (even if it isn't literally "true") is the goal, not the intended kinetic result. This "business as usual" approach to the war in Ukraine among those not actively fighting is definitely in the process of defeating Ukraine. Ukraine has enough problems without this additional burden.
Obviously I can't confirm any of these "reports" on either "side" of the issue. However, I do believe the 450-750K number is much, much closer to the truth the 1M+ number referenced. The unfortunate trend in this war has been for the European (and to a degree the US) to vastly overstate both the quantity and the immediacy of what they are doing. The truth later comes out and it is often not good. It has effects.
Ukraine is in a militarily hopeless situation without massive military aid from the west, primarily the US. Without aid they have too few people and too little military-industrial complex to hold off Russia for any length of time. Knowing that, Ukraine will inevitably quit if the aid stops. So far, lots of aid has been delivered. Even more has been promised and not (yet?) delivered. Whether that quantity of aid is adequate to allow a Ukrainian victory is arguable. However, one thing that is absolutely undeniable is that the RATE of aid delivery has been far slower than initially promised and that this delay has considerably attenuated the effect of the aid that has arrived. Politicians make announcements with great fanfare and then almost nothing happens. It seems the announcement (even if it isn't literally "true") is the goal, not the intended kinetic result. This "business as usual" approach to the war in Ukraine among those not actively fighting is definitely in the process of defeating Ukraine. Ukraine has enough problems without this additional burden.