06-05-2024, 07:45 AM
(06-04-2024, 08:02 PM)old spanish trail Wrote:(06-04-2024, 07:08 PM)Giants Wrote:Really? I like your optimism but who is this cavalry of whom you speak? Ray and Cobb? Hopefully they don't come down with a groin pull. Poor Casey at the bat. Strikes out with no outs and bases loaded and then doesn't come up with 3 hard hits to short. Thus, Ariz leads 3-0.(06-04-2024, 06:33 PM)lex24 Wrote: Bleak.
It does look very bleak; however, the cavalry is coming. If the fort can be held until the all-star break, there may be a chance to survive the current situation.
That's the real question. Can the Giants keep it close until the All Star break? Last year, they had a great first 2/3rds of the season, then just tanked.
I'm not too worried about the hitters. Soler's history is that he heats up in the second half, he's basically a different hitter after July 1. Conforto, historically, is much better in the second half. Wade, Estrada and Yaz typically do slightly worse in the 2nd half but it's basically a rounding error. Bailey is the one I'm really worried about, given his tank job in the second half of last year.
The youngsters are coming into their own. Wisely is crushing it. Even Casey Schmitt is doing much better. Hopefully Wade will bounce back in July.
The real question is the pitching. There's not enough data on Harrison, Miller or Rodriguez, but here's the list of SFG pitchers who pitch better in the second half: Tyler Rogers, Blake Snell, Sean Hjelle, Ryan Walker, Camilo Doval, Alex Cobb, Spencer Howard.
Here's the list of SFG pitchers who have historically pitched worse in the second half of the season: Robbie Ray, Logan Webb, Taylor Rogers, Jordan Hicks, Luke Jackson, Keaton Winn, Tristan Beck.
That's...not a good sign. Five starters worse, two starters better. At least the closer is better. Two of the three main setup relievers are better (not counting Rodriguez). Overall...not great signs.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
