[Goose]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-sends...29542.html

This is "interesting" for at least two reasons. One reason is that Russia can employ their greater numbers by stretching the battlespace as much as they can. This forces Ukraine to spread their less-numerous troops in less depth, creating the greater possibility of a breakthrough. The other reason is that in the north Ukraine lacks strategic depth. Major population centers are very close to the border, so regrouping via strategic retreat is in many places not an option. Russia has been slow to take advantage of this geometric advantage.  They attempted it early in the war but their incompetent execution allowed Ukraine to hold the line. Russia is unquestionably a better army now than then. Further west Ukraine is somewhat protected by Belarus. Russia probably doesn't have blanket permission to attack through Belarus and may not want to involve Belarus in the war directly. That isn't for sure though and this contingency further stretches Ukraine.

Ukraine has (finally) passed a "more inclusive" draft law, but it will take 90 days (best case) or so to deliver many more useful soldiers. Ukraine also has to refill their logistics pipeline with the newly arriving ammunition. That won't take anywhere near 90 days but is a factor for a few weeks at least. Russia has a window of opportunity here. Let's hope Ukraine can weather this interval.

[Goose]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-sends...29542.html

This is "interesting" for at least two reasons. One reason is that Russia can employ their greater numbers by stretching the battlespace as much as they can. This forces Ukraine to spread their less-numerous troops in less depth, creating the greater possibility of a breakthrough. The other reason is that in the north Ukraine lacks strategic depth. Major population centers are very close to the border, so regrouping via strategic retreat is in many places not an option. Russia has been slow to take advantage of this geometric advantage.  They attempted it early in the war but their incompetent execution allowed Ukraine to hold the line. Russia is unquestionably a better army now than then. Further west Ukraine is somewhat protected by Belarus. Russia probably doesn't have blanket permission to attack through Belarus and may not want to involve Belarus in the war directly. That isn't for sure though and this contingency further stretches Ukraine.

Ukraine has (finally) passed a "more inclusive" draft law, but it will take 90 days (best case) or so to deliver many more useful soldiers. Ukraine also has to refill their logistics pipeline with the newly arriving ammunition. That won't take anywhere near 90 days but is a factor for a few weeks at least. Russia has a window of opportunity here. Let's hope Ukraine can weather this interval.