[dabigv13]

Russia appears to have recaptured Robotyne, a settlement that Ukraine had themselves recaptured in their counter offensive last year. Russia is pushing on several fronts.

https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1785340931308159097

GPS guided Excalibur rounds accuracy has been seriously degraded by Russian EW. Estimates of 6% accuracy now. Anecdotally videos of successful Excalibur strikes have been rare/absent the past several months.

https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1785224435974250953

And supposedly Ukraine is no longer using GMLRS due to degraded accuracy. Some suggestion this could be a mistatement actually referring to GDSLB, as we know that has had problems and there have been plenty of recent GMLRS strike videos.

https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1785218234028826902

More on GDSLB problems here. Boeing supposedly doing updates for guidance system that will hopefully help. Lockheed has been doing updates for JDAMs that may have helped somewhat.

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/...ys/396141/

ATACMS still seems effective though. More strikes on Dzankhoi and other airbases in Crimea overnight.

Interesting that there seems to be differences in how effective Russian EW is against various GPS guided munitions. There may be different EW deployment at different ranges from the front or at airbase targets where Russia may be using less EW to avoid interrupting their own equipment. Also plausible that the different guidance systems themselves may be more or less susceptible or some  have better or more robust secondary inertial guidance. Interesting that GMLRS and JDAM have underwent upgrades that at least partially counteract Russian EW while Excaliber and GDSLB have not or not yet had success with that.

[dabigv13]

Russia appears to have recaptured Robotyne, a settlement that Ukraine had themselves recaptured in their counter offensive last year. Russia is pushing on several fronts.

https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1785340931308159097

GPS guided Excalibur rounds accuracy has been seriously degraded by Russian EW. Estimates of 6% accuracy now. Anecdotally videos of successful Excalibur strikes have been rare/absent the past several months.

https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1785224435974250953

And supposedly Ukraine is no longer using GMLRS due to degraded accuracy. Some suggestion this could be a mistatement actually referring to GDSLB, as we know that has had problems and there have been plenty of recent GMLRS strike videos.

https://x.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1785218234028826902

More on GDSLB problems here. Boeing supposedly doing updates for guidance system that will hopefully help. Lockheed has been doing updates for JDAMs that may have helped somewhat.

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/...ys/396141/

ATACMS still seems effective though. More strikes on Dzankhoi and other airbases in Crimea overnight.

Interesting that there seems to be differences in how effective Russian EW is against various GPS guided munitions. There may be different EW deployment at different ranges from the front or at airbase targets where Russia may be using less EW to avoid interrupting their own equipment. Also plausible that the different guidance systems themselves may be more or less susceptible or some  have better or more robust secondary inertial guidance. Interesting that GMLRS and JDAM have underwent upgrades that at least partially counteract Russian EW while Excaliber and GDSLB have not or not yet had success with that.