02-16-2024, 01:35 PM
(02-16-2024, 11:29 AM)Mick Wrote:(02-16-2024, 10:44 AM)Giants Wrote: I think you put far too much emphasis on the value of a manager. It is all about the players. Heck, even if they had signed Ohtani, the Giants are not a 95 win team. There are too many holes in the lineup. They are too slow, poor defensively, have no pitching depth, and a relief corps that is suspect.
As currently constructed, they are a 70-75 win team. With Ohtani, they would have bumped to a .500 club.
Melvin brings experience, class and structure to the team. However, until they acquire some talent (or find some gems in their farm system) they will struggle. In summary, I am not suggesting he is at the same level as future HOF managers like Baker or Bochy but I would say he is the right guy for SF at this time.
Agreed, I think I said in an earlier post that 75 wins was my max expectation -- before adding Soler, Lee, Ray and Murphy. If Kapler won 79, Melvin wouldn't win more than 75. With Soler, Lee, Ray and Murphy, they've filled a lot of holes...and addition by subtraction, losing DeSclafani, Stripling (clubhouse cancer), Haniger, etc.
In a prior post, you wrote that Bob Melvin would be worth 5-7 wins. Last year's Giants under Mr. Coconut Oil won 79. An additional 5-7 wins would imply 84-86 wins, not 70-75, so I'm a bit confused over that. Lex originally estimated 78 wins. Be interesting to see how it plays out.
Yep, at the time I wrote that, I was optimistic re: the Giants off-season (and the hiring of Melvin). In hindsight, I should have been more realistic re: the off-season given Zaidi’s track record. Quite frankly, I didn’t think Zaidi would flop two years in a row. By the way, we do agree that Zaidi is a boat anchor weighing down the entire operations group.
I do think Melvin will wring every possible win out of the schedule. However, given the bad hand he has been dealt, I do not see improvement over last year. If anything, the team has regressed. Hence, my revised win total.
