(01-25-2024, 09:46 PM)Goose Wrote:(01-25-2024, 07:51 PM)GK3 Wrote: An interesting article on Ukraine's drone attacks against Russian oil and gas industry.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambli...74ee632355
Makes one think about how many drones you can build for the price of one F16. The F16's are clearly needed, but the explosive growth of the drone segment of the Ukrainian military is significant. I would assume our military and that of our allies our paying attention to what is going on and what works and what doesn't.
Almost all militaries are paying attention. The problem is what conclusions should be drawn from what they see. The war in Ukraine has many very unique characteristics that may or may not be applicable to wars "in general". The world's militaries have a long history of preparing to re-fight the last war. When the next war comes, it is then substantially different from the war they prepared to fight. There is also a very long history of journalists writing articles about the impact of "new weapons" or "new tactics" that turn out to be totally misguided a month or so later.
Both Ukraine and Russia are using drones in many cases because they have no alternative weapons system they can deploy. In very few cases is the drone the "best" choice, but is the one they can build in quantity. Ukraine can certainly impose a "cost" on Russia to defend itself against these drone attacks. The idea that such defense is "impossible" is refuted by Ukraine's own efforts against the Shaheds. Russia can pretty easily defend the 5 "critical" ports, but they have to actually do it. That imposes a cost, and such defense is never perfect. That said, Ukraine hasn't built a "war winner".
True enough, the drones are not war winners but Russia has I think limited resources and it can order up all kinds of stuff, but how much of what they want can they buy or build?
The more holes Ukraine punches in Putin's balloon will only make life harder for him. He might find himself too close to an upper story window. The more hits on Mother Russia will on one hand gain him some support, but on the other hand he will lose some. At what, 71? his remaining time in the saddle is limited.
