[Goose]

Turkish parliament voted to approve Swedish accession to NATO

This is a very good thing indeed! One less thing to "go wrong". However, we shouldn't get carried away. Erdoğan still has to sign it. IMO he won't until the F-16 deal is approved by the Senate. I believe Erdoğan trusts Biden does indeed sincerely wants to make that happen. The problem is that so far the administration hasn't been able to deliver. Erdoğan isn't going to throw away his remaining leverage, IMO.

As far as Hungary goes, it is unclear what will happen. At one point in the past Orbán stated that Hungary would sign if Erdoğan did. Since that time, lots has happened and the relations between Hungary and essentially everyone have become much worse. I think the previous promise is no longer operative.

Along similar lines, the assurances given by Ursula von der Leyen that the Hungarian veto of Ukraine aid would be resolved very soon almost assures it won't be :-), IMO. https://www.euractiv.com/section/europe-...d-demands/. Slovakia is now a part of the problem. This isn't going in the right direction. This dispute is intertwined with the Hungarian NATO position. I expect you can't get Hungary to separate the two.

[Goose]

Turkish parliament voted to approve Swedish accession to NATO

This is a very good thing indeed! One less thing to "go wrong". However, we shouldn't get carried away. Erdoğan still has to sign it. IMO he won't until the F-16 deal is approved by the Senate. I believe Erdoğan trusts Biden does indeed sincerely wants to make that happen. The problem is that so far the administration hasn't been able to deliver. Erdoğan isn't going to throw away his remaining leverage, IMO.

As far as Hungary goes, it is unclear what will happen. At one point in the past Orbán stated that Hungary would sign if Erdoğan did. Since that time, lots has happened and the relations between Hungary and essentially everyone have become much worse. I think the previous promise is no longer operative.

Along similar lines, the assurances given by Ursula von der Leyen that the Hungarian veto of Ukraine aid would be resolved very soon almost assures it won't be :-), IMO. https://www.euractiv.com/section/europe-...d-demands/. Slovakia is now a part of the problem. This isn't going in the right direction. This dispute is intertwined with the Hungarian NATO position. I expect you can't get Hungary to separate the two.