[Goose]

Based on results to date the line should be more like 21. I bet the line is a reflection of the David vs. Goliath/Boise State vs. Oklahoma dynamic. This is the Super Bowl for Liberty in a way it just isn’t for Oregon.

Agree. There is a real question whether or not Oregon will "show up". If it were U$C we would know they won't. Oregon is a bit more of an unknown, but it wouldn't surprise me if a lot of the players will "mail it in". This game isn't what they wanted or expected. They also undoubtedly believe it will be "easy". Even Nix may regard it as a "cameo" appearance and not be ready to play. We won't know until the play the game.

On the other hand, Oregon may want to destroy Liberty to prove that it deserved a much higher rating or a much bigger platform. See Stanford's 2016 Rose Bowl win over Iowa by a score of 45-16.

Yes, but beating Liberty by 10,000 points won't do either of those things. Iowa was at least a B1G West champion. Conference USA isn't anywhere near the same. Oregon is in a no-win situation. If the lose, it is a disaster. If they win, it was totally expected.

[Goose]

Based on results to date the line should be more like 21. I bet the line is a reflection of the David vs. Goliath/Boise State vs. Oklahoma dynamic. This is the Super Bowl for Liberty in a way it just isn’t for Oregon.

Agree. There is a real question whether or not Oregon will "show up". If it were U$C we would know they won't. Oregon is a bit more of an unknown, but it wouldn't surprise me if a lot of the players will "mail it in". This game isn't what they wanted or expected. They also undoubtedly believe it will be "easy". Even Nix may regard it as a "cameo" appearance and not be ready to play. We won't know until the play the game.

On the other hand, Oregon may want to destroy Liberty to prove that it deserved a much higher rating or a much bigger platform. See Stanford's 2016 Rose Bowl win over Iowa by a score of 45-16.

Yes, but beating Liberty by 10,000 points won't do either of those things. Iowa was at least a B1G West champion. Conference USA isn't anywhere near the same. Oregon is in a no-win situation. If the lose, it is a disaster. If they win, it was totally expected.