11-14-2023, 08:58 PM
(11-14-2023, 07:08 PM)dabigv13 Wrote: From what I have seen, Ukraine has established shallow footholds in several areas on the east bank of the Dnipro, but it looks like mostly small squads of infantry without any vehicles. I think it certainly speaks to Russia's problems with force quality and quantity that they can't defend these areas or counterattack with enough strength to extirpate the relatively lightly held beachheads.Recently Ukraine has been deepening these bridgeheads according to several reports. They also have brought armored vehicles across the river, but in limited numbers. Russia has been trying to dislodge the Ukrainians using artillery. Apparently they do not have enough of that to do the job, and are even more short of troops. Ukraine will keep expanding the bridgeheads as long as they don't hit superior forces and have adequate troops.
That being said, Ukraine probably lacks the ability to rapidly exploit these beachheads as well. It will be tough to mass any mechanized forces in the very exposed terrain there with Russia easily able to eliminate them from the air or even simply with FPV drones and artillery.
Still, this will occupy Russia's attention and require them to actively defend a larger part of the front with their scarcer and scarcer high end equipment. And Ukraine will certainly be sending their own drone operators over the Dnipro to continue whittling away at that equipment.
The entrenched Russian strong points in Kherson Oblast are supposedly not as well protected as the ones in Zaporizhzhia. They are also less "dense" on the ground. Russia may have decided that air power would be a better way to defend Kherson Oblast, given their lack of sufficient troops and the openness of the terrain. Ukraine may be using the winter weather that makes Russian air considerably less useful to "make hay while the sun doesn't shine". This works fine until the weather clears :-).
