[Goose]

Could the unitary ATACMS take out a section of the Kerch bridge?  Maybe the US could spare, say, 10 warheads for that purpose.

Suppose Ukraine had a few and took out the bridge.  Would Moscow then position their supply depots far enough from the front line, fearing a few more were available?  For a small investment, a large gain might be made.

The ATACMS is not an "ideal" weapon to take out the Kerch bridge, but it could probably damage it to the point it wouldn't be useful. A 500 lb warhead sounds like a "lot" but against a concrete bridge it will probably just make a hole, not bring down the structure. A M57E1 with GPS would probably also be required. The INS uncorrected CEP is such that lots of missiles fired would miss the bridge clean. Russia has lots of GPS jamming around that bridge. A StormShadow using it's target recognition capability would be a better weapon if you can get it there. Use INS to get "close" and then home in visually.  It has twice as big a warhead. Now, can the F-16 fire a StormShadow? If so, I bet quite a few Ukrainian pilots would love to fly a very low level attack profile via the Sea of Azov or maybe South Kherson. The casualty rate may be high, but I bet they would do it.

[Goose]

Could the unitary ATACMS take out a section of the Kerch bridge?  Maybe the US could spare, say, 10 warheads for that purpose.

Suppose Ukraine had a few and took out the bridge.  Would Moscow then position their supply depots far enough from the front line, fearing a few more were available?  For a small investment, a large gain might be made.

The ATACMS is not an "ideal" weapon to take out the Kerch bridge, but it could probably damage it to the point it wouldn't be useful. A 500 lb warhead sounds like a "lot" but against a concrete bridge it will probably just make a hole, not bring down the structure. A M57E1 with GPS would probably also be required. The INS uncorrected CEP is such that lots of missiles fired would miss the bridge clean. Russia has lots of GPS jamming around that bridge. A StormShadow using it's target recognition capability would be a better weapon if you can get it there. Use INS to get "close" and then home in visually.  It has twice as big a warhead. Now, can the F-16 fire a StormShadow? If so, I bet quite a few Ukrainian pilots would love to fly a very low level attack profile via the Sea of Azov or maybe South Kherson. The casualty rate may be high, but I bet they would do it.