07-10-2023, 08:00 AM
https://www.yahoo.com/news/turkey-back-s...35964.html
Just when you thought it was all sorted out... In a way, this is really bad news. The EU isn't going to reopen talks in a situation where it appears they were forced by Türkiye to do so. Internal politics, particularly in Germany, make this real hard to do in the short term. OTOH, Erdoğan has introduced a new demand that he too will face internal issues if he has to "back down". I can for sure see reasons for him to make this demand, and he may regard it as a compromise way ahead that doesn't force Sweden to "back down" and yet allows him to declare victory.
There is no way that Türkiye is joining the EU anytime soon and Erdoğan knows that. The same political and economic issues that made the talks fail in the first place still exist. However, restarting the talks may give his currency a boost right now, which he really needs. Restarting talks is "free" from his point of view. Nobody has committed to actually DO anything. If Türkiye will vote in Sweden without any conditions regarding PROGRESS in the talks, it would be a "good" deal for all concerned. However, politically in many EU countries it isn't at all "free" and the governments are probably not politically strong enough to do it even if they wanted to. Unclear where this goes. It would be great if the EU countries were already on board with this and it was already agreed to, but I really doubt that is the case.
Just when you thought it was all sorted out... In a way, this is really bad news. The EU isn't going to reopen talks in a situation where it appears they were forced by Türkiye to do so. Internal politics, particularly in Germany, make this real hard to do in the short term. OTOH, Erdoğan has introduced a new demand that he too will face internal issues if he has to "back down". I can for sure see reasons for him to make this demand, and he may regard it as a compromise way ahead that doesn't force Sweden to "back down" and yet allows him to declare victory.
There is no way that Türkiye is joining the EU anytime soon and Erdoğan knows that. The same political and economic issues that made the talks fail in the first place still exist. However, restarting the talks may give his currency a boost right now, which he really needs. Restarting talks is "free" from his point of view. Nobody has committed to actually DO anything. If Türkiye will vote in Sweden without any conditions regarding PROGRESS in the talks, it would be a "good" deal for all concerned. However, politically in many EU countries it isn't at all "free" and the governments are probably not politically strong enough to do it even if they wanted to. Unclear where this goes. It would be great if the EU countries were already on board with this and it was already agreed to, but I really doubt that is the case.