[dabigv13]

Zero percent chance Putin engineered a coup against himself so he can send Prigozhin to Belarus to attack Ukraine. This is some Putin as master strategist brainworms. All he would have had to do is ask him to do that, and then we wouldn't have scenes of crowds cheering for a rival, Prigozhin, multiple downed aircraft and dead airmen, torn up roads and bridges in a panic, Russians buying wheat and fleeing from the cities.

If you're going to stage a coup with a willing stooge to play the role as couper, why let them advance on Moscow while you try to stop them in a panic? Why let them shoot down all those planes? Why make an announcement calling the coupers traitors and stabbing the nation in the back, only to pardon them hours later?

I think it makes sense that Prigozhin did this because he knew the MOD deadline to subordinate Wagner MOD was coming up, he was at height of his power, and he had to make a play before giving it up. He succeeded enough to force some uncomfortable choices but maybe realized he never could actually take Moscow or if he did assume actual control of the state.

The deal as announced by Kremlin seems strange for Prigozhin to accept, surely we will learn more as time goes on. But a Putin 4D chess match, definitely not.

[dabigv13]

Zero percent chance Putin engineered a coup against himself so he can send Prigozhin to Belarus to attack Ukraine. This is some Putin as master strategist brainworms. All he would have had to do is ask him to do that, and then we wouldn't have scenes of crowds cheering for a rival, Prigozhin, multiple downed aircraft and dead airmen, torn up roads and bridges in a panic, Russians buying wheat and fleeing from the cities.

If you're going to stage a coup with a willing stooge to play the role as couper, why let them advance on Moscow while you try to stop them in a panic? Why let them shoot down all those planes? Why make an announcement calling the coupers traitors and stabbing the nation in the back, only to pardon them hours later?

I think it makes sense that Prigozhin did this because he knew the MOD deadline to subordinate Wagner MOD was coming up, he was at height of his power, and he had to make a play before giving it up. He succeeded enough to force some uncomfortable choices but maybe realized he never could actually take Moscow or if he did assume actual control of the state.

The deal as announced by Kremlin seems strange for Prigozhin to accept, surely we will learn more as time goes on. But a Putin 4D chess match, definitely not.