[lex24]

Some how, some way, the Warriors are -10.5 at Rockets tonight.

Does anyone think the W's will cover that number? Iron Man Kevon Looney is Questionable with back spasms, and they are still favored by 10.5?!?!?!

ESPN's terrible prediction algorithm has the W's with a 70% chance to win, but I just don't see it. Maybe the thinking is Klay Thompson will redeem himself after such a piss poor game in Memphis, and Curry will also not be as worn out as we was in Memphis. But still, road adversity has proven to be insurmountable for the 2022-23 GSW's.

Or maybe the Rockets will rest their stars on second of back-to-back hoping to not get too far ahead of Detroit in the Wembamyama sweepstakes...

Warriors 121-108.  Covered. 

I once read that the probability of a person without “an edge” (i.e normal bettor) getting 53% right against the spread assuming 1,000 games across all major sports is around 2.3%. 53% is breaking even given the Vig



I don’t bet often.  It’s a suckers game.

[lex24]

Some how, some way, the Warriors are -10.5 at Rockets tonight.

Does anyone think the W's will cover that number? Iron Man Kevon Looney is Questionable with back spasms, and they are still favored by 10.5?!?!?!

ESPN's terrible prediction algorithm has the W's with a 70% chance to win, but I just don't see it. Maybe the thinking is Klay Thompson will redeem himself after such a piss poor game in Memphis, and Curry will also not be as worn out as we was in Memphis. But still, road adversity has proven to be insurmountable for the 2022-23 GSW's.

Or maybe the Rockets will rest their stars on second of back-to-back hoping to not get too far ahead of Detroit in the Wembamyama sweepstakes...

Warriors 121-108.  Covered. 

I once read that the probability of a person without “an edge” (i.e normal bettor) getting 53% right against the spread assuming 1,000 games across all major sports is around 2.3%. 53% is breaking even given the Vig



I don’t bet often.  It’s a suckers game.