[BostonCard]

The economist has called Russia’s vaunted offensive a “damp squib”

https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/02...damp-squib

The question is whether Ukraine can exploit this disarray. One scenario is a repeat of last summer, when Russia’s conquest of Severodonetsk, a town in Luhansk, came at such a high price in casualties that Ukraine was able to punch through Russia’s thinned-out lines in Kharkiv two months later. If Russia expends shells and manpower in pyrrhic victories in Donetsk, that could pave the way for a Ukrainian counter-offensive in the spring or early summer—bolstered by Western armour that is on the way.

Something I’ve been saying for some time. Btw, I had expected Bakhmut to have fallen already. I think it is a matter of time, but that Ukraine has been able to hold out for as long as it has is probably a victory, and means that Russia has had to expend even more resources to capture it.

BC

[BostonCard]

The economist has called Russia’s vaunted offensive a “damp squib”

https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/02...damp-squib

The question is whether Ukraine can exploit this disarray. One scenario is a repeat of last summer, when Russia’s conquest of Severodonetsk, a town in Luhansk, came at such a high price in casualties that Ukraine was able to punch through Russia’s thinned-out lines in Kharkiv two months later. If Russia expends shells and manpower in pyrrhic victories in Donetsk, that could pave the way for a Ukrainian counter-offensive in the spring or early summer—bolstered by Western armour that is on the way.

Something I’ve been saying for some time. Btw, I had expected Bakhmut to have fallen already. I think it is a matter of time, but that Ukraine has been able to hold out for as long as it has is probably a victory, and means that Russia has had to expend even more resources to capture it.

BC