10-27-2022, 04:15 PM
It seems clear Ukraine doesn't move until the facts suggest it will win. They take the, ready, aim, fire approach, whereas Russia is ready fire, aim.
This suggests Ukraine operates on superior intelligence and doesn't extend itself more than it can handle. It may have been a week ago that is seemed Kherson was a week away from being taken back by Ukraine, but those assertions were probably based on a belief Russia would retreat.
I can't help but think the threat to blow up the dam was a typical Russian disinformation campaign designed to get Ukraine thinking Russia was abandoning the place, but planning to destroy it, and in so doing giving Russians a chance to fortify positions. What seems to have happened is the poorly trained conscripts are being sent to the front, so the better trained forces can put up stronger lines of defense closer to the city itself.
Will be interesting from a study of war perspective, how having poorly trained and equipped forces impact holding territory. Will Ukraine route them, but use up resources that make the fight for the city tougher? Will Ukraine route them and be nothing more than a speed bumps taking Kherson? Will a sheer volume of even poorly equipped fighters slow and weaken Ukraine forces so they can't take Kherson due to Russian resistance?
This suggests Ukraine operates on superior intelligence and doesn't extend itself more than it can handle. It may have been a week ago that is seemed Kherson was a week away from being taken back by Ukraine, but those assertions were probably based on a belief Russia would retreat.
I can't help but think the threat to blow up the dam was a typical Russian disinformation campaign designed to get Ukraine thinking Russia was abandoning the place, but planning to destroy it, and in so doing giving Russians a chance to fortify positions. What seems to have happened is the poorly trained conscripts are being sent to the front, so the better trained forces can put up stronger lines of defense closer to the city itself.
Will be interesting from a study of war perspective, how having poorly trained and equipped forces impact holding territory. Will Ukraine route them, but use up resources that make the fight for the city tougher? Will Ukraine route them and be nothing more than a speed bumps taking Kherson? Will a sheer volume of even poorly equipped fighters slow and weaken Ukraine forces so they can't take Kherson due to Russian resistance?