10-16-2022, 11:44 AM
I think Notre Dame definitely should have won and we got incredibly lucky to win but that's not what matters. We won and they lost.
Regarding the discussion of the rest of the season and possible win, this weekend bumped multiple games on to the Stanford slight favorite side of the ledger, at least for now. For what it's worth, on paper, Sagarin scopes out our schedule like this:
Colgate - WIN
USC - LOSS
at Washington - LOSS
at Oregon - LOSS
Oregon State - LOSS
at Notre Dame - WIN
Arizona State - 58 percent
at UCLA - 25 percent
Washington State - 50 percent
at Utah - 13 percent
at Cal - 54 percent
BYU - 57 percent
Expected win total: 4.57
That's a big one week bump up in expected wins, but still puts us squarely in 3-5 wins as the most likely result IMHO. What kills us is that Oregon State game. Hard to get to 6+ without it.
I will not/cannot abide anybody talking about a losing season as acceptable, especially not with the seniority and advantages of the 2022 roster. As I indicated in my Sunday morning thoughts post, I don't rule out a big building of momentum getting us to a 6-8 win season, though I think it's unlikely. But if we rally for 5 wins, people better not defend that. It's mediocre and we are pathetic losers if we start making arguments that we should have beat Oregon State and been bowl-eligible. Yeah, well Notre Dame should have beat us. Who cares?
This weekend always has been/should be bowl or bust.
Regarding the discussion of the rest of the season and possible win, this weekend bumped multiple games on to the Stanford slight favorite side of the ledger, at least for now. For what it's worth, on paper, Sagarin scopes out our schedule like this:
Colgate - WIN
USC - LOSS
at Washington - LOSS
at Oregon - LOSS
Oregon State - LOSS
at Notre Dame - WIN
Arizona State - 58 percent
at UCLA - 25 percent
Washington State - 50 percent
at Utah - 13 percent
at Cal - 54 percent
BYU - 57 percent
Expected win total: 4.57
That's a big one week bump up in expected wins, but still puts us squarely in 3-5 wins as the most likely result IMHO. What kills us is that Oregon State game. Hard to get to 6+ without it.
I will not/cannot abide anybody talking about a losing season as acceptable, especially not with the seniority and advantages of the 2022 roster. As I indicated in my Sunday morning thoughts post, I don't rule out a big building of momentum getting us to a 6-8 win season, though I think it's unlikely. But if we rally for 5 wins, people better not defend that. It's mediocre and we are pathetic losers if we start making arguments that we should have beat Oregon State and been bowl-eligible. Yeah, well Notre Dame should have beat us. Who cares?
This weekend always has been/should be bowl or bust.
