[Goose]

This is a dynamic situation, so by the time I post this I'm sure it's already outdated, but the success of Ukrainian forces has made Russia pull back to avoid encirclement, and now all positions on the inhulets river, north east of where the bridgehead was, have been liberated.  This is a total collapse of the north east Kherson front.  



[url=https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1577265181679570945?s=20&t=sg3azHEjC2Z_UIN5BOlVuw]https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1577265181679570945?s=20&t=sg3azHEjC2Z_UIN5BOlVuw

Indeed it is a collapse, but from the Russian point of view, if you are going to collapse, this is the place to do it :-). Ukraine can do real damage if they keep going down the right bank of the river. However, they want to destroy/capture the Russians in the area. That is going to put them in a situation where they either slow down to gobble up the Russians or risk having Russians on their flank. Trying to do both is beyond their means, unless the Russians run so fast there is nobody to "mop up". If I were the Russian commander, that is what I would try to do. This would create a greater concentration of Russians closer to Nova Kakhovka, which should be the Russian ne plus ultra.

The advance from Davydiv Brid is more direct, and if they could get a collapse there it could get them to Nova Kakhovka faster. That would also create a wide envelopment of the Russians on the west bank. It seems the Russians are doing better against that attack, but as we have seen, that can change fast. Let's hope it does!

[Goose]

This is a dynamic situation, so by the time I post this I'm sure it's already outdated, but the success of Ukrainian forces has made Russia pull back to avoid encirclement, and now all positions on the inhulets river, north east of where the bridgehead was, have been liberated.  This is a total collapse of the north east Kherson front.  



[url=https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1577265181679570945?s=20&t=sg3azHEjC2Z_UIN5BOlVuw]https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1577265181679570945?s=20&t=sg3azHEjC2Z_UIN5BOlVuw

Indeed it is a collapse, but from the Russian point of view, if you are going to collapse, this is the place to do it :-). Ukraine can do real damage if they keep going down the right bank of the river. However, they want to destroy/capture the Russians in the area. That is going to put them in a situation where they either slow down to gobble up the Russians or risk having Russians on their flank. Trying to do both is beyond their means, unless the Russians run so fast there is nobody to "mop up". If I were the Russian commander, that is what I would try to do. This would create a greater concentration of Russians closer to Nova Kakhovka, which should be the Russian ne plus ultra.

The advance from Davydiv Brid is more direct, and if they could get a collapse there it could get them to Nova Kakhovka faster. That would also create a wide envelopment of the Russians on the west bank. It seems the Russians are doing better against that attack, but as we have seen, that can change fast. Let's hope it does!