[Goose]

The developments are pretty opaque at this point, probably by design. This Ukrainian journalist is saying the offensive may be more tactical at this phase:

https://mobile.twitter.com/IAPonomarenko...7321167872

Agree. I think the Ukraine had previously raised expectations of an offensive and now feel they need to do "something". I hope they haven't let the politics overcome their planning, although politics are real too. My guess is that they are aiming to force a Russian withdrawal from Kherson city and will be very happy if they accomplish that. Failing that, forcing Russia to postpone their fake "referendum" would also be a good thing. All that said, I have no idea what their currently planned operations may include. Ukraine may have larger goals and they undoubtedly know their capabilities better than we do.

Russia has recently moved a considerable quantity of modern military equipment in to Crimea. AFAIK none of that has gone further and into Kherson Oblast. Is this a precaution, is it a PR stunt to keep the Crimean population calm, or is it in expectation of needing it to defend Crimea? If the latter, they must be expecting more from Ukraine than meets the eye ATM.

UPDATE: Interesting statement. https://www.yahoo.com/news/counteroffens...39013.html It appears that Ukraine does expect some "news" but also that they are becoming sensitive to accusations of "propaganda" due to over-enthusiastic reporting by some sources.

[Goose]

The developments are pretty opaque at this point, probably by design. This Ukrainian journalist is saying the offensive may be more tactical at this phase:

https://mobile.twitter.com/IAPonomarenko...7321167872

Agree. I think the Ukraine had previously raised expectations of an offensive and now feel they need to do "something". I hope they haven't let the politics overcome their planning, although politics are real too. My guess is that they are aiming to force a Russian withdrawal from Kherson city and will be very happy if they accomplish that. Failing that, forcing Russia to postpone their fake "referendum" would also be a good thing. All that said, I have no idea what their currently planned operations may include. Ukraine may have larger goals and they undoubtedly know their capabilities better than we do.

Russia has recently moved a considerable quantity of modern military equipment in to Crimea. AFAIK none of that has gone further and into Kherson Oblast. Is this a precaution, is it a PR stunt to keep the Crimean population calm, or is it in expectation of needing it to defend Crimea? If the latter, they must be expecting more from Ukraine than meets the eye ATM.

UPDATE: Interesting statement. https://www.yahoo.com/news/counteroffens...39013.html It appears that Ukraine does expect some "news" but also that they are becoming sensitive to accusations of "propaganda" due to over-enthusiastic reporting by some sources.