[dabigv13]

I agree that PrSM is unlikely but we did give Ukraine those brand new untested Phoenix Ghost drones, so we've demonstrated that we're ok with letting Ukraine test new weapons in combat at least with that system.

And while you're probably right that Russia would not distinguish between Poland and US supplying ATACMS, they seem to only really be capable of whining about it. Russia has not meaningfully responded to provision of HIMARS or HARM missiles besides lying about how often they are destroying those systems. So I think US is probably less worried than previously about what would happen, and some other country providing the missiles gives the US a fig leaf to say their prior statements were not outright lies.

Still all just speculation at this point until we see some debris.

[dabigv13]

I agree that PrSM is unlikely but we did give Ukraine those brand new untested Phoenix Ghost drones, so we've demonstrated that we're ok with letting Ukraine test new weapons in combat at least with that system.

And while you're probably right that Russia would not distinguish between Poland and US supplying ATACMS, they seem to only really be capable of whining about it. Russia has not meaningfully responded to provision of HIMARS or HARM missiles besides lying about how often they are destroying those systems. So I think US is probably less worried than previously about what would happen, and some other country providing the missiles gives the US a fig leaf to say their prior statements were not outright lies.

Still all just speculation at this point until we see some debris.