[DC 86]

After last night's victory, projection is 89 wins.

Whose projection? you can't simply apply a team's win percentage to date to the rest of the season. You have to consider the specific remaining schedule, personnel changes (e.g Tatis returning), individual performances regressing to the mean, etc. Fangraphs currently projects the Giants to win 87 games the season (.547 thus far but .535 ROS).

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Projections don’t deal with injuries, Covid, slumps. Illusory.

You are confusing Projection with Prediction.

[DC 86]

After last night's victory, projection is 89 wins.

Whose projection? you can't simply apply a team's win percentage to date to the rest of the season. You have to consider the specific remaining schedule, personnel changes (e.g Tatis returning), individual performances regressing to the mean, etc. Fangraphs currently projects the Giants to win 87 games the season (.547 thus far but .535 ROS).

---

Projections don’t deal with injuries, Covid, slumps. Illusory.

You are confusing Projection with Prediction.