[lex24]

The premise being that BABIP reflects some degree of luck?  I mean, that is to a large extent true, given the small sample sizes, but I also feel like it distinguishes people who make “quality contact” from those who make weak contact and hit a lot of pop-ups or weak grounders.

BC

Absolutely. BABiP isn't a strict reflection of luck, to be meaningful it needs to be examined in the context of quality of contact.

In this case, given that Bart hits the ball harder than Casali it stands to reason that Casali's high BABIP is likely unsustainable, and that the gap between him and Bart thus far this season is understated.

Over a period of about 4 years Matty Alou hit about .335.  I bet his BABIP was way out of whack with hard hit rates etc.  just a guy that would make contact, use the whole field, throw in a bunch of infield hits. You know, the type of player that doesn’t exist anymore.

Mathematicians have made baseball a much less interesting game.

[lex24]

The premise being that BABIP reflects some degree of luck?  I mean, that is to a large extent true, given the small sample sizes, but I also feel like it distinguishes people who make “quality contact” from those who make weak contact and hit a lot of pop-ups or weak grounders.

BC

Absolutely. BABiP isn't a strict reflection of luck, to be meaningful it needs to be examined in the context of quality of contact.

In this case, given that Bart hits the ball harder than Casali it stands to reason that Casali's high BABIP is likely unsustainable, and that the gap between him and Bart thus far this season is understated.

Over a period of about 4 years Matty Alou hit about .335.  I bet his BABIP was way out of whack with hard hit rates etc.  just a guy that would make contact, use the whole field, throw in a bunch of infield hits. You know, the type of player that doesn’t exist anymore.

Mathematicians have made baseball a much less interesting game.